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102 N Hickory Aly Multi-family
C+ Composite 61.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

102 N Hickory Aly · Ligonier, PA 15658
5 bd · 3.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 237 Days on market
Poor condition 4,098 sqft lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier and very close to all the amenities this town has to offer. Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor, currently rented out on a month to month basis. Third unit, in need of TLC, located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking. This could be converted back into a spacious single family residence!

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Historic ligonier
  • Full basement

Tags

TRIPLEXHISTORIC LIGONIERFULL BASEMENTLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMTWO CAR GARAGEOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.1% in Ligonier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#267 in PA, #2,344 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Ligonier Valley SD (rural): math 28% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $215,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.84%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 N Market St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (-1) 19mo $199,000 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,454
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$58,702
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15658

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
20.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$677

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 72%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,000

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 237 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 236 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 235 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 234 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 232 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 226 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 219 DOM
  14. 2025-10-23
    listed $245,000 Active 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier and very close to all the amenities this town has to offer. Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor, currently rented out on a month to month basis. Third unit, in need of TLC, located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking. This could be converted back into a spacious single family residence!

  15. 2025-09-05
    historical Expired 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier! Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor. Third unit located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking.

  16. 2024-09-06
    listed $249,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier! Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor. Third unit located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,000
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,880
− Management
−$2,880
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable income
$4,489
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$7,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This triplex requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to address structural, exterior, and interior issues, as well as HVAC and landscaping improvements.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Severe weathering and damage
  • Major Roof — Exposed structure
  • Major Flooring — Exposed subflooring
  • Major Interior walls/paint — Peeling and damage
  • Major Windows — Broken windows
  • Major Foundation/structure — Structural issues
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — Exposed components
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Exterior siding replacement — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Roof repair/replacement — Essential for structural integrity and value
  • Both Interior wall repairs and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both Window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and value
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Severe weathering and damage Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · Exposed structure Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Exposed subflooring Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls/paint · Peeling and damage Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Broken windows Major $15,000–50,000
Foundation/structure · Structural issues Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · Exposed components Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Exterior siding replacement — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Roof repair/replacement — Essential for structural integrity and value
  • Both Interior wall repairs and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value
  • Both Window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and value
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ligonier Valley SD
NCES district ID
4213710
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,879
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4714
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ligonier

Score
79/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#2344

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ligonier, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,114

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 5% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.70%
Current HPI
155.4857
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $245,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2024-09-06 Listed $249,000 West Penn MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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