Multi-family
102 N Hickory Aly · Ligonier, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier and very close to all the amenities this town has to offer. Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor, currently rented out on a month to month basis. Third unit, in need of TLC, located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking. This could be converted back into a spacious single family residence!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Historic ligonier
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.1% in Ligonier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#267 in PA, #2,344 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Ligonier Valley SD (rural): math 28% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.84%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 N Market St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | — | 19mo | $199,000 | — | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,454
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $58,702
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15658
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 20.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $677
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $3,000 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,000 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,000 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,000 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,000 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $245,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2025-10-23$245,000 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier and very close to all the amenities this town has to offer. Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor, currently rented out on a month to month basis. Third unit, in need of TLC, located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking. This could be converted back into a spacious single family residence!
-
2025-09-05historical Expired 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier! Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor. Third unit located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking.
-
2024-09-06$249,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Investment opportunity! Triplex located in the heart of Historic Ligonier! Two 1 bedroom 1 bath units on the the first floor. Third unit located on the second and third floor. Full basement provides plenty of room for additional storage, as well as a large laundry room. The property comes with a two car garage and additional off street parking.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,675
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,880
- − Management
- −$2,880
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $4,489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This triplex requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to address structural, exterior, and interior issues, as well as HVAC and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major Roof — Exposed structure
- Major Flooring — Exposed subflooring
- Major Interior walls/paint — Peeling and damage
- Major Windows — Broken windows
- Major Foundation/structure — Structural issues
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — Exposed components
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both Exterior siding replacement — Improves curb appeal and value
- Both Roof repair/replacement — Essential for structural integrity and value
- Both Interior wall repairs and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value
- Both Window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and value
- Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof · Exposed structure | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Exposed subflooring | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls/paint · Peeling and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Broken windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Foundation/structure · Structural issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · Exposed components | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Exterior siding replacement — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Roof repair/replacement — Essential for structural integrity and value ↑
- Both Interior wall repairs and painting — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
- Both Window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and value ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ligonier Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213710
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,879
- Composite
- 36.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #310 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ligonier
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #2344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ligonier, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,114
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 5% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.70%
- Current HPI
- 155.4857
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-1.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-23 Listed $245,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-05 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-09-06 Listed $249,000 West Penn MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…