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146 London Rd
D Composite 40.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

146 London Rd · Webster, NY 14580
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,623 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1964 0.44 ac lot $126/sqft · 24% below area Est $436k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Dreams can come true! Spacious Cape located in the Village of Webster offers 4 and possibly a 5th bedroom and 2623 sqft of Living Space! Above grade square footage is 2068 and the rest is a partially finished basement with gas fireplace and dry bar. The perfect area to entertain company! All appliances stay including washer and dryer and stand up freezer. Newer updates include: Vinyl Siding (2yrs old), 2 new garage doors (2 years old), on-demand hot water (2 years), furnace (5 years), newer replacement windows throughout. Home offers hardwood floors throughout and and a 1st floor bedroom. Experience the charm of this home located on a quiet neighborhood street and close to shopping and rest

Key facts

  • New garage doors
  • Gas fireplace
  • Dry bar

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTGAS FIREPLACEDRY BARVINYL SIDINGNEW GARAGE DOORSON-DEMAND HOT WATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Rectangular residential lot, approximately 0.44 acres (105 x 191); City street frontage
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Copper plumbing; Block foundation; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Programmable thermostat; Thermal windows; Full, partially finished basement with sump pump; Two fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-512 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (27.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $239k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.9% in Webster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#221 in NY, #3,471 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
  • Webster Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #184 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $239,436 (27.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
4.43%
Cash-on-cash
-6.65%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$436,141
List price
$329,900
Delta
-24.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
146 London Rd 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,623 (0%) 0mo $401,000 $153 100
33 Dunning Ave 0.27mi 4/1.5 2,605 (-1%) 1mo $485,500 $186 83
243 Curtice Park 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,627 (+0%) 13mo $400,000 $152 70
27 Elm St 0.29mi 4/1.5 2,544 (-3%) 14mo $431,000 $169 68
28 Southwick Dr 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,472 (-6%) 2mo $425,000 $172 60
1436 State Rd 0.52mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,652 (+1%) 22mo $330,000 $124 48
1076 Webster Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,306 (-12%) 15mo $261,000 $113 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.5%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-87,464
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-30.5%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-123,793
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14580

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,546 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$656 /mo · $7,871/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$535
Net cashflow
$-512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,194
Max offer price $239,436
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1022-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    historical Active Under Contract 1022-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $329,900 Active 1022-char remark
  4. 2002-02-15
    soldstatus $151,000
  5. 1996-11-22
    soldstatus $137,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,871 · $656/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,871 · $656/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,552
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$7,871
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,444
− Management
−$2,444
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$11,934
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,864
After-tax cash flow
$-3,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Central School District
NCES district ID
3630360
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$71,221
Composite
55.18/100
National rank
#1273
State rank
#184 of 590 in NY

Livability — Webster

Score
76/100
State rank
#221
US rank
#3471

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Webster, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
54,180
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
54,180
Household income
$98,310
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1325.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.52%
Current HPI
266.2145
Rent YoY
▲ 2.38%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $401,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $329,900 UNYREIS
  • 2002-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
  • 1996-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,871 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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