769 Calico Scallop St · Ruskin, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale. SHORT SALE - PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! WELCOME HOME!! This Magnificent LENNAR built HARTFORD model offers 1935SF living space built in 2020. This Home boasts 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a spacious open floorplan that features a large Great Room, Eat-In Kitchen with oversized granite island and a Dining Room. The high ceilings coupled with the open floorplan create a living space that is both spacious and cozy at the same time. This home has a vibrant floorplan has three bedrooms at the front of the house and the Master is offset on the opposite side at the rear of the house, which allows privacy. The main living areas are centered between the two sleeping areas which includes the Spacious Great room for all your family gatherings! The Hugh Master Bedroom features a large westerly facing window to capture those beautiful nightly sunsets. It also features an Ensuite Bathroom with a huge walk-in Shower, double sinks, a separate room for the Commode and a roomy Walk-In Closet. The home has both large backyard and a beautifully manicured front yard. This home has it all! Be ready to Fall in love at your first viewing!
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Open floorplan
- Huge walk-in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-836 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (47.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (47.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Thompson Elementary (math 42% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,454 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 744 students, 69% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 770 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 76d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 431 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 431 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.75%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,624
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -16.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 972 Ocean Spray Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,926 (-0%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $166 | 84 |
| 823 Seminole Sky Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,998 (+3%) | 0mo | $412,000 | $206 | 80 |
| 910 Fern Leaf Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,843 (-5%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $155 | 79 |
| 1026 Seminole Sky Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,936 (+0%) | 18mo | $323,000 | $167 | 52 |
| 1532 Bonita Bluff Ct | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,210 (+14%) | 7mo | $210,500 | $95 | 42 |
| 1332 Ocean Spray Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-14%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $182 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -41.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-107,415
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -90.7%
- Equity multiple
- -1.12×
- Total profit
- $-180,719
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 40 active · 25 under contract
- Months of supply
- 40.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $337,495 ($172/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33570
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 770
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,530 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$669 /mo · $8,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$12
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $-836
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-663 | -5% $-750 | +0% $-836 | +5% $-922 | +10% $-1,009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,036 | -5% $-936 | +0% $-836 | +5% $-736 | +10% $-636 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-682 | -0.5pp $-758 | base $-836 | +0.5pp $-915 | +1.0pp $-995 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 774 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2264 | $2,650 | $1.17 | 95d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 861 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,300 | $1.20 | 100d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 838 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,095 | $1.44 | 10d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 811 Parker Den Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2325 | $2,800 | $1.20 | 120d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 602 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2078 | $2,300 | $1.11 | 100d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 951 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2389 | $2,700 | $1.13 | 120d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 986 7th Ave NW Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,041 | $1.35 | 75d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 578 Olive Conch St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 117d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 501 Calico Scallop St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1045 7th Ave NW Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,351 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 929 Anchor Bend Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,495 | $1.29 | 60d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 823 Seminole Sky Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1998 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 984 Ocean Spray Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $2,315 | $1.02 | 62d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 996 Ocean Spray Dr Ruskin, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2387 | $2,580 | $1.08 | 58d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 649 Sunlit Coral St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $1,990 | $1.31 | 84d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1215 Ocean Spray Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,290 | $1.13 | 62d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1215 Ocean Spray Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2035 | $2,290 | $1.13 | 42d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 511 Sunlit Coral St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 120d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 590 Sunlit Coral St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 120d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 477 Sunlit Coral St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2328 | $2,149 | $0.92 | 120d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 450 Sunlit Coral St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 40d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1610 Bonita Bluff Ct Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,175 | $1.50 | 120d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1408 Nethers Pl Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2070 | $2,750 | $1.33 | 120d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1620 Bonita Bluff Ct Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2187 | $2,166 | $0.99 | 100d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1822 Raven Glen Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $3,000 | $1.63 | 6d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1761 Bonita Bluff Ct Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2112 | $2,295 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1881 Sand Daisy Pl Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2439 | $2,600 | $1.07 | 30d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 165 Rain Berry Ave Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2439 | $2,600 | $1.07 | 89d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1807 Bonita Bluff Ct Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1881 | $2,120 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1835 Raven Glen Dr Unit 87 Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1988 | $1,300 | $0.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 213 6th Ave SW Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 54d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1824 Mira Lago Cir Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2358 | $2,540 | $1.08 | 89d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1824 Mira Lago Cir Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2358 | $2,540 | $1.08 | 69d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 320 Blue Point Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $2,110 | $1.19 | 78d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 509 Vista Ridge Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2058 | $2,355 | $1.14 | 106d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5110 Clover Mist Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $2,235 | $1.28 | 84d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 588 Royal Empress Dr Ruskin, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2215 | $2,450 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 724 Royal Empress Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1796 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 724 Royal Empress Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1796 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 98d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5234 Clover Mist Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2018 | $2,325 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $305,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $305,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $305,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $305,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $305,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $305,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $305,000 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $305,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $305,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $305,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $305,000 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $305,000 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $305,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $305,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $305,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $305,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $305,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $305,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $305,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $305,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $305,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $305,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $305,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $305,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $305,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $305,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $305,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $305,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $305,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $305,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $305,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $305,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $305,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $305,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $305,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $305,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $305,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $305,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $305,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $305,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $305,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $305,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $305,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $305,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $305,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $305,000 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $305,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $305,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $305,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $305,000 Active 368 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,033 · $669/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,033 · $669/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$8,033
- − Insurance
- −$6,644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,429
- − Management
- −$2,429
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$15,277
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,667
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2020 Lennar Hartford model offers a spacious open floorplan with good condition and minimal repairs needed. Curb appeal improvements can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ruskin
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #6879
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ruskin, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 33,319
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,319
- Household income
- $72,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.10%
- Current HPI
- 277.8257
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.90%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-94.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $310,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $339,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $2,339,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-19 Listed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-21 Sold (MLS) $370,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-13 Listed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $5,198,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,033 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…