16134 Justine St · Markham, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Highest and best due sunday, June 14 at noon. Great house, bigger than it looks. Needs a little TLC to make it home. Perfect for someone wanting sweat equity or investor. Being sold as is. Buyer responsible for city requirements.
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1962
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 10.8% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Maya Angelou Elem Sch (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 192 students, 0% FRL); Brooks Middle School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 75d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,192/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 32% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $85k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.18%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $198,257
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -57.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16019 Myrtle Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-1%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $69 | 80 |
| 16221 Hermitage Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,044 (+3%) | 4mo | $192,000 | $184 | 74 |
| 1716 W 163rd St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 1mo | $136,200 | $125 | 69 |
| 16222 Honore Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 965 (-5%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 16300 Winchester Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (-0%) | 5mo | $97,500 | $96 | 66 |
| 16328 Winchester Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (-0%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 16510 Winchester Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,051 (+4%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $76 | 54 |
| 16549 Hermitage Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,087 (+7%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $141 | 54 |
| 16444 Wolcott Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+6%) | 6mo | $112,500 | $104 | 50 |
| 15537 Ashland Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,091 (+8%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $64 | 49 |
| 16154 Honore Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-15%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $127 | 47 |
| 16607 Winchester Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,053 (+4%) | 8mo | $226,000 | $215 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $104,804
- Equity at exit
- $76,575
- IRR
- 54.0%
- Equity multiple
- 12.05×
- Total profit
- $263,100
- Equity at exit
- $165,136
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 25 active · 27 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.0 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $149,900 ($143/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 34 d
- This list price
- 24% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +36.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,192 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$335 /mo · $4,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $916
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,203 | -5% $940 | +0% $916 | +5% $892 | +10% $868 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $743 | -5% $829 | +0% $916 | +5% $1,003 | +10% $1,089 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $959 | -0.5pp $938 | base $916 | +0.5pp $894 | +1.0pp $872 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 93d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 16007 Vine Ave Harvey, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 74d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 16340 Ashland Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $2,500 | $2.62 | 6d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,625 | $1.49 | 76d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 120d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 84d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 15116 Marshfield Ave Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,000 | $1.89 | 86d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 16775 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,150 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,200 | $2.54 | 51d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 54d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property not currently leasedBuilt before 1978
- Financial info
- Special service area: No
- HOA & community
- No master association required
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached garage (garage owned) with space for 2 vehiclesConcrete driveway/parking
- Utilities
- Public water (shared well noted)Public sewer
- Home design
- Detached single-family homeOne-story layoutApproximately 1,500 total finished living areaFee simple ownership
- Construction
- Built roughly 61–70 years agoVinyl siding with brick accentsAsphalt roofConcrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features
- Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150Less than 0.25 acre lotSchool bus service and commuter transit access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen on main level, approximately 18 x 10Tile flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- Four bedrooms (all on main level)Master bedroom with full bathBedroom sizes include 15 x 15, 12 x 15, 10 x 11, and 10 x 10
- Flooring
- Luxury vinyl flooring in most living areas and bedroomsCeramic tile in laundry room
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heating
- Interior features
- Seven total roomsCrawl space basement
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundry room (approximately 5 x 5)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-09-18pricedays on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $90,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $90,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $90,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-09-04price $90,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-08-25price $95,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $97,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $97,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $97,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $97,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $97,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $97,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $97,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $97,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $97,500 Active 20 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $97,500 Active 19 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $97,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-08-15price $97,500 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,016 · $335/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,016 · $335/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$4,016
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,104
- − Management
- −$2,104
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $10,422
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,501
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof, exterior siding, windows, HVAC system, and landscaping all need attention.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — No visible signs of recent maintenance or repair.
- Major exterior siding — Signs of wear and tear.
- Major windows — Signs of wear and tear.
- Major HVAC system — No visible signs of recent maintenance or repair.
- Major landscaping — Basic landscaping with overgrown areas.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale repair roof — A new roof can significantly increase the home's value and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
- Resale repair exterior siding — A new exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Resale repair windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale repair HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale landscape and improve curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped yard can significantly increase the home's value and appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- County
- Cook · 5,347,519 people
- City population
- 10,980
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
- Household income
- $53,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 32% of renters
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+212.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-28 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-25 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-09 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-25 Sold (MLS) $46,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-29 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2001-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records
- 2001-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1980-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2023): $4,016 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…