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10 Chestnut Dr
C+ Composite 60.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,500

10 Chestnut Dr · Westbrook, CT 06498
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 868 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1981 $621/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable Coastal lifestyle in a sought after 55+ community with private beach rights awaits, just in time for summer fun! This 2 BR, 1 1/2 bath home sits in a great location for a short walk to Grove Beach, or maybe you just want to sit on the porch and soak up the salt air. The layout is ideal with 2 good size bedrooms, one at each end of home and one with a 1/2 bath. There is also a shed for extra storage, the home has 2 Mitsubishi split units for heating and cooling. The location is close to Clinton and minutes away from the Westbrook town beach. Old Saybrook is a short drive and you are surrounded by many great restaurants and shopping choices. Land lease includes garbage pick up, wat

Key facts

  • Updated full bath
  • Private beach rights
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

PRIVATE BEACH RIGHTSSHORT WALK TO GROVE BEACHSHED FOR EXTRA STORAGEMITSUBISHI SPLIT UNITSUPDATED FULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Professional on-site property management
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee includes clubhouse, front desk receptionist, lake/beach access, trash pickup, water, sewer, property management, and road maintenance; Association amenities include clubhouse and guest parking

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic sewer; Electric power and heat fuel
  • Home design: Single-family home in a 55+ adult community; Walk to water
  • Construction: Frame construction; Aluminum siding; Blue exterior color; Asphalt shingle roof; No foundation listed
  • Exterior features: Shed; Porch; Patio; Dry lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Split system cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located in main level hallway

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $184k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Westbrook School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #49 of 153 in CT (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Westbrook High School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 202 students, 27% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-7,892
Equity at exit
$27,510
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$22,362
Equity at exit
$15,952

Cash invested: $51,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06498

Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,630 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$968
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $863/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$621
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,199
Max offer price $184,500
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,125
Closing costs
$5,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Grove Way #10 Clinton, CT 2.0 1.0 840 $2,450 $2.92 44d 1 0.50mi
170 Shore Rd Clinton, CT 2.0 1.0 944 $2,900 $3.07 44d 1 0.71mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$621 · $7,452/yr
Likely covers
trash

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,500 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,500 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,500 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,500 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $184,500 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$863 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,406 · $200/mo
Expected delta
+$1,543/yr (+$129/mo · 178.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,561
− Mortgage interest
−$10,335
− Property taxes
−$863
− Insurance
−$922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,525
− Management
−$2,525
− HOA
−$7,452
− Depreciation
−$5,367
Taxable income
$1,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$377
After-tax cash flow
$3,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westbrook School District
NCES district ID
0904980
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$68,591
Composite
52.78/100
National rank
#1540
State rank
#49 of 153 in CT

Livability — Westbrook

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,832

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, India
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.73%
Current HPI
200.2559
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Coming Soon $184,500 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $863 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…