176 Co Rd 531 · Garden City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on approximately 3.4 acres, this well-maintained mobile home offers country living with several recent updates and valuable extras. Recent improvements include a new HVAC system, new vinyl plank flooring, and fresh interior paint. The kitchen appliances are included, making this property move-in ready. Outside, you'll find a metal garage building for storage or workshop space, a storm shelter for added peace of mind, and a chain-link fenced enclosure perfect for pets. Conveniently listed at tax assessment value, this property offers an excellent opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. All photos have been digitally staged.
Key facts
- Storm shelter
- Fresh interior paint
- New hvac system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed as $220
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 210 x 630; Approximately 3.4-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#476 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hanceville Elementary School (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #364 of 627 statewide, top 58%, 624 students, 78% FRL); Hanceville Middle School (math 12% / reading 51%, grade F, #114 of 257 statewide, top 45%, 304 students, 77% FRL); Hanceville High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 366 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $110k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.33%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,828
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -19.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-12,365
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,692
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35077
- Home prices YoY
- -12.6%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14$110,000 Active 646-char remark
-
2022-05-17soldstatus $34,000
-
2020-08-27soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$772
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cullman County
- NCES district ID
- 0101020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,449
- Composite
- 28.39/100
- National rank
- #6767
- State rank
- #49 of 129 in AL
Livability — Garden City
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #24315
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cullman County · 47,767 people
- City population
- 127
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,107
- Household income
- $48,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 323.0
Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,522 people
- By 2030
- 85,402 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 86,152 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 85,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 79,679 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 66,943 · -20.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cullman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.31%
- Current HPI
- 258.7978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cullman, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $110,000 SAARMLS
- 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $206 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…