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176 Co Rd 531
C- Composite 53.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

176 Co Rd 531 · Garden City, AL 35077
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1992 3.40 ac lot $153/sqft · 44% above area Est $136k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Situated on approximately 3.4 acres, this well-maintained mobile home offers country living with several recent updates and valuable extras. Recent improvements include a new HVAC system, new vinyl plank flooring, and fresh interior paint. The kitchen appliances are included, making this property move-in ready. Outside, you'll find a metal garage building for storage or workshop space, a storm shelter for added peace of mind, and a chain-link fenced enclosure perfect for pets. Conveniently listed at tax assessment value, this property offers an excellent opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. All photos have been digitally staged.

Key facts

  • Storm shelter
  • Fresh interior paint
  • New hvac system

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW VINYL PLANK FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTMETAL GARAGE BUILDINGSTORM SHELTERCHAIN-LINK FENCED ENCLOSURE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed as $220

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 210 x 630; Approximately 3.4-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Total of 8 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#476 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hanceville Elementary School (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #364 of 627 statewide, top 58%, 624 students, 78% FRL); Hanceville Middle School (math 12% / reading 51%, grade F, #114 of 257 statewide, top 45%, 304 students, 77% FRL); Hanceville High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 366 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $110k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.33%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,828
List price
$110,000
Delta
-19.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-12,365
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,692
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35077

Home prices YoY
-12.6%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,070 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $110,000 Active 646-char remark
  18. 2022-05-17
    soldstatus $34,000
  19. 2020-08-27
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,845
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,028
− Management
−$1,028
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$185
After-tax cash flow
$1,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cullman County
NCES district ID
0101020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,449
Composite
28.39/100
National rank
#6767
State rank
#49 of 129 in AL

Livability — Garden City

Score
53/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#24315

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cullman County · 47,767 people
City population
127
Metro
Cullman, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,107
Household income
$48,276
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
323.0

Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,522 people
By 2030
85,402 · +1.0%
By 2040
86,152 · +1.9%
By 2050
85,202 · +0.8%
By 2075
79,679 · -5.7%
By 2100
66,943 · -20.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cullman

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.31%
Current HPI
258.7978
Rent YoY
Metro
Cullman, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+266.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $110,000 SAARMLS
  • 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $206 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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