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217 E Ponca St
C- Composite 52.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$134,000

217 E Ponca St · Garber, OK 73738
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1965

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Clean Clean Home in Garber, just minutes away from Enid. This immaculate home is ready for you to move in or is being rented for $700/month. Great Investment property!!!! Renter will stay. He is on a month to month. 3 bed 1 Bath, Large Rooms and Extra Large back Yard with chain link fence.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Fenced in backyard
  • New water heater

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETCONVERTED SINGLE CAR GARAGEFENCED IN BACKYARDNEW FURNACENEW WATER HEATERNEW FRIDGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($681/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#187 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Garber (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #51 of 270 in OK (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($926 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,974 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,860
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 W Ponca St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-4%) 3mo $41,900 $34 83
219 Versailles Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,419 (+11%) 4mo $112,750 $79 63
421 W Ponca St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,222 (-5%) 22mo $25,000 $20 52
519 W Cherokee 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-15%) 11mo $65,000 $60 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$76,570
Equity at exit
$120,718
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
6.93×
Total profit
$222,598
Equity at exit
$260,333

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73738

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,211/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 533-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $134,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,211 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,211 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,917
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$1,211
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable loss
−$1,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$383
After-tax cash flow
$1,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garber
NCES district ID
4012420
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$50,538
Composite
27.52/100
National rank
#6953
State rank
#51 of 270 in OK

Livability — Garber

Score
64/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#14751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garber, OK
Population (ZIP)
931

Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,026 people
By 2030
72,171 · +4.6%
By 2040
79,366 · +15.0%
By 2050
87,847 · +27.3%
By 2075
112,714 · +63.3%
By 2100
135,682 · +96.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Garfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 76.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.8 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+51.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.24%
Current HPI
215.474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+282.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $134,000 FSBO.com
  • 2022-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWOAR
  • 2019-12-26 Listed $88,000 NWOAR
  • 1998-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,211 · -9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…