217 E Ponca St · Garber, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean Clean Home in Garber, just minutes away from Enid. This immaculate home is ready for you to move in or is being rented for $700/month. Great Investment property!!!! Renter will stay. He is on a month to month. 3 bed 1 Bath, Large Rooms and Extra Large back Yard with chain link fence.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Fenced in backyard
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($681/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#187 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Garber (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #51 of 270 in OK (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($926 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.81%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,860
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 W Ponca St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-4%) | 3mo | $41,900 | $34 | 83 |
| 219 Versailles Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,419 (+11%) | 4mo | $112,750 | $79 | 63 |
| 421 W Ponca St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,222 (-5%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 519 W Cherokee | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-15%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $60 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $76,570
- Equity at exit
- $120,718
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.93×
- Total profit
- $222,598
- Equity at exit
- $260,333
Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73738
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$703
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,211/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,500
- Closing costs
- $4,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 533-char remark
-
2026-06-09$134,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,211 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,506
- − Property taxes
- −$1,211
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,113
- − Management
- −$1,113
- − Depreciation
- −$3,898
- Taxable loss
- −$1,595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$383
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garber
- NCES district ID
- 4012420
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,538
- Composite
- 27.52/100
- National rank
- #6953
- State rank
- #51 of 270 in OK
Livability — Garber
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #14751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garber, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 931
Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,026 people
- By 2030
- 72,171 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 79,366 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 87,847 · +27.3%
- By 2075
- 112,714 · +63.3%
- By 2100
- 135,682 · +96.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Italian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garfield
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 76.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+51.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.24%
- Current HPI
- 215.474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+282.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $134,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWOAR
- 2019-12-26 Listed $88,000 NWOAR
- 1998-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,211 · -9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…