1100 29th St · Marion, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Marion ranch close to schools and shopping. Large eat in kitchen with plenty of cupboards. Hardwood floors underneath carpet in living room, hallway, and bedrooms. Closet in the hallway has hookup for stackable washer and dryer. There are additional hookups in the lower level. Lower level has large rec room, a bonus room with a closet perfect for home office or additional bedroom. Also there is a second full bath. Brand new roof! New furnace and new front porch in 2021. Oversized garage with 220, fenced yard, and large patio. For ease of maintenance gutter toppers were installed. Gas grill is not warranted as seller has never used it.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Finished basement
- Open living space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $185k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Marion Independent School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #158 of 289 in IA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary (318 students, 38% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 66% / reading 65%, grade A-, #153 of 246 statewide, top 62%, 668 students, 40% FRL); Marion High School (math 69% / reading 80%, grade B+, #89 of 336 statewide, top 30%, 722 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.41%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,872
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2765 16th Ave | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,620 (-2%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $145 | 84 |
| 2765 14th Ave Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+6%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $152 | 79 |
| 2860 Mcgowan Blvd Blvd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,578 (-4%) | 3mo | $251,000 | $159 | 67 |
| 2611 4th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,602 (-3%) | 1mo | $202,500 | $126 | 66 |
| 1675 Northview Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,810 (+10%) | 2mo | $237,515 | $131 | 62 |
| 1340 38th St Pl | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,572 (-4%) | 3mo | $242,000 | $154 | 61 |
| 1960 27th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (+8%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $130 | 61 |
| 180 21st St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,577 (-4%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $138 | 55 |
| 1805 Brockman Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,752 (+7%) | 0mo | $265,001 | $151 | 55 |
| 2565 24th Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,745 (+6%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $124 | 53 |
| 2270 24th Ave Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+6%) | 0mo | $237,000 | $136 | 51 |
| 1480 Henderson Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,479 (-10%) | 0mo | $192,000 | $130 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,741
- Equity at exit
- $27,957
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $48,981
- Equity at exit
- $16,212
Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52302
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$983
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,875
- Closing costs
- $5,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3040 3rd Ave Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1330 Brockman Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,400 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2799 29th Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1975 49th St Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,175 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2785 Ridgeview Way Marion, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2015 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-18$187,500 Active
-
2022-04-29soldstatus $175,000
-
2022-04-28soldstatus $175,000 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Wonderful Marion ranch close to schools and shopping. Large eat in kitchen with plenty of cupboards. Hardwood floors underneath carpet in living room, hallway, and bedrooms. Closet in the hallway has hookup for stackable washer and dryer. There are additional hookups in the lower level. Lower level has large rec room, a bonus room with a closet perfect for home office or additional bedroom. Also there is a second full bath. Brand new roof! New furnace and new front porch in 2021. Oversized garage with 220, fenced yard, and large patio. For ease of maintenance gutter toppers were installed. Gas grill is not warranted as seller has never used it.
-
2022-02-20$168,000 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Wonderful Marion ranch close to schools and shopping. Large eat in kitchen with plenty of cupboards. Hardwood floors underneath carpet in living room, hallway, and bedrooms. Closet in the hallway has hookup for stackable washer and dryer. There are additional hookups in the lower level. Lower level has large rec room, a bonus room with a closet perfect for home office or additional bedroom. Also there is a second full bath. Brand new roof! New furnace and new front porch in 2021. Oversized garage with 220, fenced yard, and large patio. For ease of maintenance gutter toppers were installed. Gas grill is not warranted as seller has never used it.
-
2003-04-28soldstatus $102,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,532 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,532 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,503
- − Property taxes
- −$3,532
- − Insurance
- −$938
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,829
- − Management
- −$1,829
- − Depreciation
- −$5,455
- Taxable loss
- −$1,224
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$294
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Independent School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918690
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,541
- Composite
- 58.49/100
- National rank
- #997
- State rank
- #158 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 42,706
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,706
- Household income
- $87,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.2949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+83.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $187,500 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-02-20 Listed $168,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,532 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…