363 W Griffith Rd #18 · Pocatello, ID
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fully renovated 2 bed, 2 bath manufactured home in Boulder Acres Park, located just 1 block off Yellowstone Ave in Pocatello. This 1993 Kit home (13x66) features new siding, new appliances, metal roof, and metal skirting. Move-in ready with a functional floor plan and modern updates throughout. Buyer must be approved by park. Current lot rent is $480/month.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Metal roof
- New siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-713/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $48k (17.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($982 rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
- Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Alameda Middle School (math 46% / reading 57%, grade C, #28 of 109 statewide, top 25%, 645 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.35%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 760 W Alameda Rd #8 | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 | 11mo | $69,900 | $83 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-12,615
- Equity at exit
- $8,723
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-13,203
- Equity at exit
- $5,058
Cash invested: $16,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83201
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $982 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$307
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $286/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$480
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,625
- Closing costs
- $1,755
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $480 · $5,760/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-14price $58,500
-
2026-02-13price $62,000
-
2026-01-02$66,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $404 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 41.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,277
- − Property taxes
- −$286
- − Insurance
- −$292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$943
- − Management
- −$943
- − HOA
- −$5,760
- − Depreciation
- −$1,702
- Taxable loss
- −$1,421
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$341
- After-tax cash flow
- $-372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocatello District
- NCES district ID
- 1602640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,478
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3003
- State rank
- #26 of 92 in ID
Livability — Pocatello
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocatello, ID
- County
- Bannock County · 82,995 people
- City population
- 58,482
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,902
- Household income
- $66,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1417.0
Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,173 people
- By 2030
- 86,575 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 86,235 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 86,090 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 85,032 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 85,103 · -1.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bannock
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 229.6427
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
-11.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — SRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $58,500 SRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $62,000 SRMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $66,000 SRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…