5001 W Florida Ave #711 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the Hemet West Active Senior Community.
Key facts
- Built 1990
- Listed 401 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.8% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,458/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1813% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.95%
- DSCR
- 4.74
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,877
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 4.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5001 W Florida Ave #400 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-1%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $51 | 86 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #139 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-7%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $67 | 79 |
| 5001 W Florida #161 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (+10%) | 5mo | $107,777 | $58 | 74 |
| 5001 W Florida #524 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-11%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $42 | 73 |
| 5001 W Florida #171 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $47 | 70 |
| 5001 FLORIDA #311 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 1mo | $73,990 | $51 | 70 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #305 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $91,000 | $63 | 69 |
| 5001 W Florida #661 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $67 | 69 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #135 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-10%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $37 | 68 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #482 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $38 | 68 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #163 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $35 | 66 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #33 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $50 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 85.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $83,270
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 88.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.56×
- Total profit
- $200,712
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $1,469
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,512 | -5% $1,490 | +0% $1,469 | +5% $1,448 | +10% $1,427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,275 | -5% $1,372 | +0% $1,469 | +5% $1,566 | +10% $1,663 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,507 | -0.5pp $1,488 | base $1,469 | +0.5pp $1,450 | +1.0pp $1,430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,335 | $2.86 | 0d | 7 | 1.07mi |
| 3080 Hampton Ave Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,695 | $1.74 | 9d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 828 Greenwich Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1977 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2971 Pembroke Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $3,000 | $1.91 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1510 Sunnybank Dr Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,750 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1610 Stoneside Dr Hemet, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $3,100 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2025-05-15$75,000 Active 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Located in the Hemet West Active Senior Community.
-
2025-04-26historical $75,000 50-char remark
Show marketing remark (50 chars)
Located in the Hemet West Active Senior Community.
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-11-06$114,999 Active
-
2011-05-12soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2011-04-22status Pending
-
2011-02-12$29,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 3 d/yr ≥105°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,359
- − Management
- −$2,359
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $17,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+150.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-15 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2025-04-26 Coming Soon $75,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-11-06 Listed $114,999 CRMLS
- 2011-05-12 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CRMLS
- 2011-04-22 Pending — CRMLS
- 2011-02-12 Listed $29,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $574 · +63.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…