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4221 S 2nd St Fourplex
C Composite 59.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$370,000

4221 S 2nd St · Louisville, KY 40214
16 bd · None ba · 3,024 sqft · MultiFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 1960 8,059 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Louisville keeps showing up on every serious investor's radar — and this updated quadplex is exactly why. Four units, meaningful updates throughout, and a market where rental demand doesn't quit. One unit coming available soon. That's your house hack. Live in one, let three pay your mortgage while you build equity in a city that rewards patient landlords. The heavy lifting is already done. You're inheriting a stabilized asset, not a renovation list. Minutes from Noble Funk Brewing Company, Huston Quin Park, and George Rogers Clark Park. Don't sleep on this one.

Key facts

  • Rental demand
  • Four units
  • Updated quadplex

Tags

UPDATED QUADPLEXFOUR UNITSRENTAL DEMANDSTABILIZED ASSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Wilder Park subdivision; Directions: From 3rd St, left on Whitney Ave, left on S 2nd St
  • Financial info: Separate meters for units
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Six parking spaces (covered parking: none)
  • Utilities: Natural gas available
  • Home design: Other architectural style; Single property with multiple units (2 units on first level, 2 units on second level)
  • Construction: Built in 1960; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Building area reported as 3,024 total
  • Exterior features: No exterior features listed; Lot dimensions approximately 54 x 150; Lot area about 0.19 acres (8,059 sq ft)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total — two on the first level and two on the second level
  • Bathrooms: No full baths reported on either level
  • Heating & cooling: Four furnaces; Central air; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Two living rooms (one on each level); Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $239/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).
  • Recommended offer: $364k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,172/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2054% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $370k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $364,450 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.06%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-3,846
Equity at exit
$55,168
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$56,150
Equity at exit
$31,991

Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40214

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
29.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,172 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,964/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$876
Net cashflow
$954

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,964
Max offer price $370,000
Occupancy floor 72%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,500
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $370,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $370,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $370,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $370,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $370,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $370,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $370,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $370,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $370,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $370,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $370,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $370,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $370,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $370,000 Active
  15. 2023-02-17
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,964 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,182 · $265/mo
Expected delta
+$218/yr (+$18/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,064
− Mortgage interest
−$20,726
− Property taxes
−$2,964
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,005
− Management
−$4,005
− Depreciation
−$10,764
Taxable income
$5,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,380
After-tax cash flow
$10,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
45,405
Household income
$54,931
Rent vs Own
45.6% rent · 54.4% own
Severe rent burden
2054.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Cuban 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.43%
Current HPI
237.4062
Rent YoY
▲ 1.89%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+196.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $370,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2023-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,964 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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