Duplex
2310 -2312 E Pacific St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice investment property. 2-bedroom 1 bath units.
Key facts
- 2-bedroom units
- Investment property
- 7,841 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $241/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,088/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1305% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 655 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 655 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.21%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,528
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -2.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1630 N Hayes Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,300 | 3mo | $169,000 | $130 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,957
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $55,910
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65803
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,088 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,088 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,044 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,044 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,088 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1649 N Patterson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $950 | — | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1825 N Oak Grove Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $995 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2223 N Link Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,195 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1710 E Commercial St Unit B Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $775 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1501 E Blaine St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $695 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2650 N Barnes Ave Unit A 23 Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1529 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $995 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 531 N Oak Grove Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $925 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2650 N Barnes Ave Apt C22 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 504 N Patterson Ave Apt C Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $725 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1722 N Fremont Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $795 | — | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2221 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2337 N Delaware Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,195 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2264 E Nora St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1311 N Fremont Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $995 | — | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1339 E Division St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1447 E Oakwood Ln Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2054 N Rogers Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $925 | $1.04 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| STE Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,600 | $1.08 | 13d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 1636 N National Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2313 N Rogers Ave Unit 1 Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $950 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2154 E Cairo St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 655 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 653 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 652 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,000 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 644 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 640 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 639 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 638 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 637 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $169,000 Active 636 DOM
-
2024-09-12status Active 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Nice investment property. 2-bedroom 1 bath units.
-
2024-08-14status Pending 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Nice investment property. 2-bedroom 1 bath units.
-
2024-08-02$169,000 Active 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Nice investment property. 2-bedroom 1 bath units.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,535
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $3,284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$788
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,882
- Household income
- $50,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.0439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.24%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2024-09-12 Relisted — SOMO
- 2024-08-14 Pending — SOMO
- 2024-08-02 Listed $169,000 SOMO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…