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C- Composite 54.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

None · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot $99/sqft · 12% above area Est $93k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 1 bath home with off street parking. Tenant paying $1 per month. 17 Property Package . No showings without approved contract. Add this to your portfolio today. Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft. , measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Off street parking
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGCLOSE TO SHOPPING AREASCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONCLOSE TO INTERSTATE HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,324/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.80%
Cash-on-cash
12.54%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,364
List price
$105,000
Delta
12.46%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Louise Ln 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,104 (+4%) 0mo $105,000 $95 89
1 Helen Ct 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,116 (+6%) 2mo $105,000 $94 77
16 Helen Ct 0.09mi 3/1.0 900 (-15%) 1mo $50,000 $56 66
3 Dora Dr 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,158 (+10%) 5mo $110,000 $95 63
17 Hanover Ln 0.44mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 1mo $50,000 $54 54
5 E Adams Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 5mo $105,000 $114 50
21 Westwood Dr 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (+4%) 12mo $56,000 $51 49
2350 Lorraine Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 966 (-8%) 11mo $69,900 $72 49
2 Margie Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (+9%) 8mo $110,000 $95 47
92 W Adams Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 2mo $79,900 $86 45
17 Drexel Dr 0.47mi 3/1.0 925 (-12%) 10mo $75,500 $82 45
24 E Adams Dr 0.39mi 4/1.0 (+1) 925 (-12%) 12mo $100,000 $108 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$2,576
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$27,547
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,324 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,736/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $935
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 44d 1 0.06mi
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 17d 1 0.12mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 12d 1 0.22mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 24d 1 0.22mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 22d 1 0.23mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.37mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 16d 1 0.45mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 44d 1 0.46mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 12d 1 0.47mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 44d 1 0.61mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 0.83mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 1.14mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 3d 1 1.27mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 1.40mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $110,000 Active 415-char remark
  16. 2025-06-17
    soldstatus $102,500
  17. 1998-08-07
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,060 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$324/yr (+$27/mo · 18.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,891
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,736
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,271
− Management
−$1,271
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,152
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$516
After-tax cash flow
$3,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
  • 1998-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,736 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…