822 Hood Ave · Shinnston, WV
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This sturdy, red brick residence is ready to be transformed by its next owner! Situated on a large corner lot in Shinnston, it offers a detached two-stall garage, a partially fenced yard, and quick access to downtown, the rail trail, and the river. Step inside to discover enduring charm highlighted by hardwood trim, built-ins, and original features that provide character and room to reimagine. Featuring copper gutters and a new gas tankless water heater. This home has a solid structure and undeniable potential. Whether you are an investor or a buyer eager to own a classic home, this property delivers opportunity both inside and out!
Key facts
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
- 7,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (22.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#12 in WV, #1,712 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Harrison County Schools (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #12 of 55 in WV (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Big Elm Elementary School (math 33% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 377 statewide, top 57%, 624 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 20% / reading 43%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 548 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Harrison County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.92%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,689
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1045 E Pike St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,671 (-14%) | 20mo | $189,000 | $113 | 35 |
| 99 Main St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 2,211 (+13%) | 24mo | $70,000 | $32 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $13,653
- Equity at exit
- $73,746
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $57,271
- Equity at exit
- $113,306
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26431
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2 | -5% $-44 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-138 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-192 | -5% $-142 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-41 | +10% $10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-49 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-134 | +1.0pp $-177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-18soldstatus $170,408
-
2025-12-24status Pending
-
2025-12-07$165,000 Active
-
2025-09-30price $154,900
-
2025-09-14price $169,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$957
- After-tax cash flow
- $-136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,269
- Composite
- 30.48/100
- National rank
- #6222
- State rank
- #12 of 55 in WV
Livability — Shinnston
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1712
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shinnston, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,899
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,273 people
- By 2030
- 65,963 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 63,033 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 59,999 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 52,524 · -21.9%
- By 2100
- 42,654 · -36.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.5% · R 69.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -41.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.0 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Current HPI
- 172.0039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $170,408 Public Records
- 2025-12-24 Pending — NCWVREIN
- 2025-12-07 Listed $165,000 NCWVREIN
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $154,900 NCWVREIN
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $169,900 NCWVREIN
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…