🏷️ Likely Rental
134 Honopu Dr · Bastrop, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
SELLER FINANCING AVAILABLE. Seller financing available. Well-maintained duplex offering immediate income and strong upside potential. One unit is leased month-to-month, providing current cash flow, while the second unit is vacant, allowing for lease-up at market rent or owner occupancy. Ideal for investors seeking flexibility, rent optimization, or a house-hacking strategy. Functional layouts with separate entrances support long-term tenant appeal. Convenient Bastrop location near major roadways, shopping, and dining, with consistent rental demand and continued area growth. A solid opportunity for a long-term hold or portfolio addition. Buyer to verify square footage, rents, and tax information.
Key facts
- Current cash flow
- Immediate income
- Second unit vacant
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($65/yr) — positive. Per door: $3/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $415k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $396k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in Bastrop — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#947 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Bastrop ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #670 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Emile El (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 803 students, 66% FRL); Bastrop Middle (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 929 students, 80% FRL); Bastrop H S (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,621 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1072 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,841 units permitted in Bastrop County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,153/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bastrop County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $588,640
- List price
- $449,999
- Delta
- -23.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-84,578
- Equity at exit
- $67,096
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-119,570
- Equity at exit
- $38,908
Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78602
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1072
- Price-to-rent
- 18.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax from tax record
- −$728 /mo · $8,737/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$872
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $260 | -5% $133 | +0% $5 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-323 | -5% $-159 | +0% $5 | +5% $169 | +10% $334 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $232 | -0.5pp $120 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-111 | +1.0pp $-230 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $4,154 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $2,077 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $2,077 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,153 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,500
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $449,999 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $449,999 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $449,999 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,999 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,999 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,999 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $449,999 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $499,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,999 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $499,999 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,999 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $499,999 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
SELLER FINANCING AVAILABLE. Seller financing available. Well-maintained duplex offering immediate income and strong upside potential. One unit is leased month-to-month, providing current cash flow, while the second unit is vacant, allowing for lease-up at market rent or owner occupancy. Ideal for investors seeking flexibility, rent optimization, or a house-hacking strategy. Functional layouts with separate entrances support long-term tenant appeal. Convenient Bastrop location near major roadways, shopping, and dining, with consistent rental demand and continued area growth. A solid opportunity for a long-term hold or portfolio addition. Buyer to verify square footage, rents, and tax information.
-
2026-04-17price $524,999 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
SELLER FINANCING AVAILABLE. Seller financing available. Well-maintained duplex offering immediate income and strong upside potential. One unit is leased month-to-month, providing current cash flow, while the second unit is vacant, allowing for lease-up at market rent or owner occupancy. Ideal for investors seeking flexibility, rent optimization, or a house-hacking strategy. Functional layouts with separate entrances support long-term tenant appeal. Convenient Bastrop location near major roadways, shopping, and dining, with consistent rental demand and continued area growth. A solid opportunity for a long-term hold or portfolio addition. Buyer to verify square footage, rents, and tax information.
-
2026-02-25price $549,999 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
SELLER FINANCING AVAILABLE. Seller financing available. Well-maintained duplex offering immediate income and strong upside potential. One unit is leased month-to-month, providing current cash flow, while the second unit is vacant, allowing for lease-up at market rent or owner occupancy. Ideal for investors seeking flexibility, rent optimization, or a house-hacking strategy. Functional layouts with separate entrances support long-term tenant appeal. Convenient Bastrop location near major roadways, shopping, and dining, with consistent rental demand and continued area growth. A solid opportunity for a long-term hold or portfolio addition. Buyer to verify square footage, rents, and tax information.
-
2026-02-10$575,000 Active 704-char remark
Show marketing remark (704 chars)
SELLER FINANCING AVAILABLE. Seller financing available. Well-maintained duplex offering immediate income and strong upside potential. One unit is leased month-to-month, providing current cash flow, while the second unit is vacant, allowing for lease-up at market rent or owner occupancy. Ideal for investors seeking flexibility, rent optimization, or a house-hacking strategy. Functional layouts with separate entrances support long-term tenant appeal. Convenient Bastrop location near major roadways, shopping, and dining, with consistent rental demand and continued area growth. A solid opportunity for a long-term hold or portfolio addition. Buyer to verify square footage, rents, and tax information.
-
2019-04-05soldstatus Sold 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
* Great price for Christopher David Built Duplex * Side B is leased for $1,675 * Potential $3,350 income leasing both sides * Large 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths with master on main floor * Open living, kitchen and dining * Master with walk-in closet and separate shower * Two large bedroom and a bath on 2nd floor * Tiled floors in all areas except bedrooms * Granite countertops * Large fenced backyard * On the market for lease also * SIDE A AVAILABLE FOR SHOWINGFEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
-
2019-03-13status Pending - Taking Backups 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
* Great price for Christopher David Built Duplex * Side B is leased for $1,675 * Potential $3,350 income leasing both sides * Large 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths with master on main floor * Open living, kitchen and dining * Master with walk-in closet and separate shower * Two large bedroom and a bath on 2nd floor * Tiled floors in all areas except bedrooms * Granite countertops * Large fenced backyard * On the market for lease also * SIDE A AVAILABLE FOR SHOWINGFEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
-
2019-02-18$399,900 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
* Great price for Christopher David Built Duplex * Side B is leased for $1,675 * Potential $3,350 income leasing both sides * Large 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths with master on main floor * Open living, kitchen and dining * Master with walk-in closet and separate shower * Two large bedroom and a bath on 2nd floor * Tiled floors in all areas except bedrooms * Granite countertops * Large fenced backyard * On the market for lease also * SIDE A AVAILABLE FOR SHOWINGFEMA - Unknown Restrictions: Yes
-
2019-02-15historical Expired
-
2018-12-06Active
-
2018-11-30historical Expired
-
2018-10-26price
-
2018-10-24status Active
-
2018-10-23status Pending - Taking Backups
-
2018-09-15Active
-
2018-09-14historical Expired
-
2018-07-29price
-
2018-07-03Active
-
2018-06-30historical Expired
-
2018-06-01Active
-
2017-02-27soldstatus
-
2016-05-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,737 · $728/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,737 · $728/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,207
- − Property taxes
- −$8,737
- − Insurance
- −$2,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,987
- − Management
- −$3,987
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable loss
- −$7,422
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,781
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bastrop ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809570
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,010
- Composite
- 23.87/100
- National rank
- #7799
- State rank
- #670 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bastrop
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #947
- US rank
- #16846
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bastrop County · 68,601 people
- City population
- 38,190
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,190
- Household income
- $89,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Bastrop County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,260 people
- By 2030
- 101,355 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 115,578 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 129,464 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 168,068 · +78.3%
- By 2100
- 194,857 · +106.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 17% Black 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bastrop
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.4) · D 40.2% · R 58.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -18.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.4 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.68%
- Current HPI
- 247.1145
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.04%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+25.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $499,999 Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $524,999 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $549,999 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $575,000 Unlock MLS
- 2019-04-05 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2019-03-13 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2019-02-18 Listed $399,900 Unlock MLS
- 2019-02-15 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-12-06 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2018-11-30 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-10-26 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2018-10-24 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-10-23 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2018-09-15 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2018-09-14 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-07-29 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2018-07-03 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2018-06-30 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2018-06-01 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2017-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+77.9%/yrLatest (2025): $8,737 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…