CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
125 Historic West St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 63.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$139,900

125 Historic West St · Garyville, LA 70051
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily · 55 Days on market
Built 2007 8,184 sqft lot $109/sqft · 20% below area Est $175k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in Garyville! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently tenant occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property provides immediate rental income potential or the option to make it your own primary residence. Spacious layout with plenty of possibilities to update, personalize, or hold as an income-producing asset. Conveniently located with access to local amenities and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or purchase a place to call home, this property offers options and value. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 8,184 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2007

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Very good condition; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof; Built on a slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood patio/porch; City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; Stone counters; Stainless steel appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $139,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$174,966) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#154 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • St. John The Baptist Parish (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #68 of 98 in LA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in St. John the Baptist Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • St. John the Baptist County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $140k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,929 (7.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.94%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,966
List price
$139,900
Delta
-20.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3022 La 44 Hwy 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+9%) 24mo $1,600 $1 58
330 S Church St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,433 (+12%) 1mo $158,000 $110 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$84,364
Equity at exit
$126,033
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$241,935
Equity at exit
$271,795

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70051

Home prices YoY
21.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,174/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,126
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,500 Active 53 DOM
    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in Garyville! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently tenant occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property provides immediate rental income potential or the option to make it your own primary residence. Spacious layout with plenty of possibilities to update, personalize, or hold as an income-producing asset. Conveniently located with access to local amenities and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or purchase a place to call home, this property offers options and value. Schedule your showing today!

  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,500 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $142,500 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $142,500 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $142,500 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $142,500 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,500 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,500 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,500 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,500 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,500 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $142,500 Active 35 DOM
  17. 2026-04-25
    listed $142,500 Active 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in Garyville! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently tenant occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property provides immediate rental income potential or the option to make it your own primary residence. Spacious layout with plenty of possibilities to update, personalize, or hold as an income-producing asset. Conveniently located with access to local amenities and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or purchase a place to call home, this property offers options and value. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-04-25
    listed $142,500 Active 612-char remark
    Show marketing remark (612 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in Garyville! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexibility for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently tenant occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property provides immediate rental income potential or the option to make it your own primary residence. Spacious layout with plenty of possibilities to update, personalize, or hold as an income-producing asset. Conveniently located with access to local amenities and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or purchase a place to call home, this property offers options and value. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2020-10-19
    soldstatus $55,100 Closed
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    HUD Home Case # 221-389506. All HUD homes sold AS-IS nice 3 bedroom home in Garyville Neighborhood, Great Curb appeal, fenced yard, large Master Bedroom, Patio, 1 car Garage.

  20. 2020-04-13
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    HUD Home Case # 221-389506. All HUD homes sold AS-IS nice 3 bedroom home in Garyville Neighborhood, Great Curb appeal, fenced yard, large Master Bedroom, Patio, 1 car Garage.

  21. 2020-04-01
    listed $50,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    HUD Home Case # 221-389506. All HUD homes sold AS-IS nice 3 bedroom home in Garyville Neighborhood, Great Curb appeal, fenced yard, large Master Bedroom, Patio, 1 car Garage.

  22. 2020-04-01
    listed $50,000
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    HUD Home Case # 221-389506. All HUD homes sold AS-IS nice 3 bedroom home in Garyville Neighborhood, Great Curb appeal, fenced yard, large Master Bedroom, Patio, 1 car Garage.

  23. 2018-03-09
    historical
  24. 2017-09-13
    status Active
  25. 2017-09-09
    historical
  26. 2017-03-09
    listed $118,500 Active
  27. 2017-03-08
    listed $118,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,174 · $98/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,471
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,174
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$188
After-tax cash flow
$1,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. John The Baptist Parish
NCES district ID
2201530
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -39.00%
Median HH income
$50,280
Composite
17.07/100
National rank
#9120
State rank
#68 of 98 in LA

Livability — Garyville

Score
65/100
State rank
#154
US rank
#13042

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Garyville, LA
City population
2,045
Population (ZIP)
1,913

Population outlook (St. John the Baptist County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,972 people
By 2030
39,295 · -4.1%
By 2040
35,902 · -12.4%
By 2050
32,988 · -19.5%
By 2075
28,661 · -30.0%
By 2100
26,456 · -35.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 41% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. John the Baptist

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.1) · D 64.0% · R 34.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+12.9pp toward D · 2008: 16.2pp · 2024: 29.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.1 2020: D+28.2 2016: D+24.5 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+16.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 33.23%
Current HPI
190.43
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $139,900 GSREIN
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $142,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $142,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2020-10-19 Sold (MLS) $55,100 GSREIN
  • 2020-04-13 Pending GSREIN
  • 2020-04-01 Listed $50,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2020-04-01 Listed $50,000 GSREIN
  • 2018-03-09 Listing Removed GSREIN
  • 2017-09-13 Relisted GSREIN
  • 2017-09-09 Listing Removed GSREIN
  • 2017-03-09 Listed $118,500 GSREIN
  • 2017-03-08 Listed $118,500 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,174 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…