485 Leathertree Ln · Blythewood, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the Elle at 485 Leathertree Lane, a beautiful new construction home in Blythewood, SC! This home features durable Hardie Plank siding, partial brick exterior, and a covered front and back patios! Inside, the floorplan features 6 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with the primary suite on the first floor. The primary suite includes a generous primary bathroom and spacious walk-in closet. The kitchen boasts a large floating island with room for seating and opens to the casual dining area and open family room. The kitchen also comes finished with white quartz countertops, tile backsplash, and gray shaker-style cabinetry (although white is pictured). There is also a wonderful flex space on
Key facts
- Hardie plank siding
- Tile backsplash
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $381k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $373k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bethel-Hanberry Elementary (math 48% / reading 49%, grade D, #193 of 597 statewide, top 33%, 759 students, 56% FRL); Westwood High (math 47% / reading 87%, grade B, #73 of 196 statewide, top 41%, 1,684 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 38% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 58% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 650 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,809/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 559% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.43%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-42,702
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-11,607
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29016
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Active inventory
- 650
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$41
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$800
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563 Roseridge Dr Blythewood, SC | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2555 | $3,619 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 434 Rocky Bark Ln Blythewood, SC | 5.0 | 2.5 | 3200 | $3,200 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $41 · $492/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-09price $385,000
-
2026-04-07price $387,000
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2026-03-13price $385,000
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2026-03-12$396,565 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,775
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,657
- − Management
- −$3,657
- − HOA
- −$492
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$2,559
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richland 02
- NCES district ID
- 4503390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,684
- Composite
- 36.2/100
- National rank
- #4730
- State rank
- #29 of 80 in SC
Livability — Blythewood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #7406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Richland County · 389,530 people
- City population
- 30,454
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,454
- Household income
- $95,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 559.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 459,667 people
- By 2030
- 487,524 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 542,035 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 595,371 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 732,998 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 820,415 · +78.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 42% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.48%
- Current HPI
- 183.5933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $385,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $387,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $385,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $396,565 Consolidated MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…