595 Hickory St · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Corner lot brick 3 bedroom, 2 bath split level situated on a double lot. Soaring vaulted ceiling in the living room along with floor to ceiling brick fireplace. All 3 bedrooms are located on the 2nd floor with 15x11 primary bedroom. Spacious kitchen has 32" cabinets and vinyl floor. Additional eat-in area located in the kitchen. The lower level includes a family room area, full-sized laundry room and a full bathroom. Enclosed breezeway leads to attached 2-car garage.
Key facts
- Brick
- Spacious kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (owned) providing 2 garage parking spaces and 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story property; Fee simple ownership; Built prior to 1978 (age approx. 61–70 years)
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 218; Lot size between 0.25 and 0.49 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with vinyl flooring; Eating area adjacent to the kitchen with vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (Master, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3) — second level: master and two additional bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, master bedroom and two secondary bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and eating area; Other flooring in family room and lower-level laundry
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms; One fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.39%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 Ingrid Ln | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (+4%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $145 | 89 |
| 128 Algonquin St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-0%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $147 | 79 |
| 351 Concord Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $132 | 69 |
| 410 Todd St | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,121 (-3%) | 3mo | $194,900 | $174 | 65 |
| 150 Algonquin St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,092 (-5%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $156 | 64 |
| 228 Arrowhead St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-2%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $151 | 63 |
| 1946 Wooster Ct | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-14%) | 5mo | $48,500 | $49 | 60 |
| 212 Berry St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,121 (-3%) | 0mo | $190,694 | $170 | 57 |
| 231 Farragut St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (+6%) | 2mo | $102,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 1918 Ashland Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 243 Arcadia St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $143 | 51 |
| 330 Hickory St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $138 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,625
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $42,293
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$331 /mo · $3,971/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 444 Hickory St Unit 2A Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 436 W Hickory St Unit Na Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 1d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 432 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 417 W Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 370 E 17th St Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $2,600 | $2.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1267 Division St Unit 1267 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 398 W Lincoln Hwy Unit 4 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1667 Buena Vista Ave Unit 1st floor Chicago Heights, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1631 Buena Vista Ave Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 83 W 15th St #1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.27mi |
| 63 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $149,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Contingent - No Showings 79 DOM
-
2026-04-19historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2026-03-13$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,971 · $331/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,971 · $331/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,971
- − Insurance
- −$1,416
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $202
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$48
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2023): $3,971 · +74.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…