853 Bovard Luxor Rd · Hempfield, PA 15601

$39,900

2 bd · None ba · 1,764 sqft · Other public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1920 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

OVER AN ACRE LEVEL TREED, GREAT LOCATION LOCATED ACROSS FRO MEADW LANE FARMS COMMUNITY NEEDS ALOT OF TLC

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $915

Exterior

• Home design: 2-story property
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 1 acre

Interior

• Interior features: Resale condition

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/?-bath other listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Hempfield Area SD (suburban): math 50% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #90 of 539 in PA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 68.76%
• DSCR: 4.06
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 66.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.26×
• Total profit: $36,386
• Equity at exit: $5,949

10-year hold

• IRR: 72.6%
• Equity multiple: 10.61×
• Total profit: $107,397
• Equity at exit: $3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 15601

• Rents YoY: 8.0%
• Active inventory: 291
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,193 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax from tax record: −$76 /mo · $915/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$250
• Net cashflow: $574

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-03
   days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-05-19
   listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $915 · $76/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $915 · $76/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,313
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$915
• − Insurance: −$997
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,145
• − Management: −$1,145
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $6,715
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,612
• After-tax cash flow: $5,273/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hempfield Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4211760
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 64% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $54,928
• Composite: 49.01/100
• National rank: #2066
• State rank: #90 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hempfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
• Metro: Pittsburgh, PA
• Population (ZIP): 56,425
• Household income: $78,555
• Rent vs Own: 24.9% rent · 75.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1209.0

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 342,555 people
• By 2030: 331,717 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 304,976 · -11.0%
• By 2050: 277,444 · -19.0%
• By 2075: 224,607 · -34.4%
• By 2100: 171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -115.23%
• Current HPI: 177.4921
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.95%
• Metro: Pittsburgh, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $915 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.