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10265 US Hwy 45 S
B- Composite 69.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$174,000

10265 US Hwy 45 S · Wingo, KY 42088
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 911 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
8.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on over 8 beautiful acres in Wingo, this completely remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath home delivers the perfect blend of modern comfort and peaceful country living. Every inch has been thoughtfully updated, giving you a truly move-in-ready home with room to grow, garden, farm, or simply enjoy the privacy of your own land. Some furniture will convey with the house.

Key facts

  • Completely remodeled
  • Move-in-ready
  • Over 8 acres

Tags

OVER 8 ACRESCOMPLETELY REMODELEDMOVE-IN-READYPRIVACY OF YOUR OWN LAND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: 8.37-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wingo Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #91 of 676 statewide, top 14%, 428 students, 76% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $174k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,390 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.64%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$73,919
Equity at exit
$102,618
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$195,639
Equity at exit
$180,517

Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42088

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$912
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $685/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,319
Max offer price $174,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,500
Closing costs
$5,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $174,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $180,000 Active
  17. 2021-05-23
    soldstatus $58,000
  18. 2020-07-15
    listed $79,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$685 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,496 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$812/yr (+$68/mo · 118.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,009
− Mortgage interest
−$9,747
− Property taxes
−$685
− Insurance
−$870
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,841
− Management
−$1,841
− Depreciation
−$5,062
Taxable income
$2,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$712
After-tax cash flow
$4,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Graves County
NCES district ID
2102280
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
41.74/100
National rank
#3400
State rank
#10 of 165 in KY

Livability — Wingo

Score
67/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#10336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wingo, KY
Population (ZIP)
2,507

Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,916 people
By 2030
36,587 · -0.9%
By 2040
35,580 · -3.6%
By 2050
33,906 · -8.2%
By 2075
28,957 · -21.6%
By 2100
21,552 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Graves

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.38%
Current HPI
255.5392
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $180,000 WKRMLS
  • 2021-05-23 Sold (MLS) $58,000 WKRMLS
  • 2020-07-15 Listed $79,500 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $685 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…