10265 US Hwy 45 S · Wingo, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$174,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on over 8 beautiful acres in Wingo, this completely remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bath home delivers the perfect blend of modern comfort and peaceful country living. Every inch has been thoughtfully updated, giving you a truly move-in-ready home with room to grow, garden, farm, or simply enjoy the privacy of your own land. Some furniture will convey with the house.
Key facts
- Completely remodeled
- Move-in-ready
- Over 8 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: 8.37-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
- Recommended offer: $171k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wingo Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #91 of 676 statewide, top 14%, 428 students, 76% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $174k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.64%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $73,919
- Equity at exit
- $102,618
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $195,639
- Equity at exit
- $180,517
Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42088
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$912
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,500
- Closing costs
- $5,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $174,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$180,000 Active
-
2021-05-23soldstatus $58,000
-
2020-07-15$79,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$812/yr (+$68/mo · 118.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,747
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,841
- − Management
- −$1,841
- − Depreciation
- −$5,062
- Taxable income
- $2,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$712
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Wingo
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #10336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wingo, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,507
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Current HPI
- 255.5392
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+126.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $180,000 WKRMLS
- 2021-05-23 Sold (MLS) $58,000 WKRMLS
- 2020-07-15 Listed $79,500 WKRMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…