1224 Vail Dr Unit 14c · Grovetown, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$211,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Move-In Ready Special to include 4,000 in incentives plus blinds, fridge and 1 year of paid HOA dues on contracts written by 8/31/26. Don't forget to ask about our Ivey Honors Program for active/retired military, first responders and teachers * Located in Caroleton at 1224 Vail Drive in Grovetown, Georgia, the Athens 2-Bedroom Townhome floor plan offers 1,162 square feet with 2 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. This two-story layout is designed for efficient, low maintenance living. The main level features an open-concept kitchen that connects directly to the dining area and living room, creating a functional space for everyday routines.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Open-concept kitchen
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $212k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-373 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (25.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#57 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Euchee Creek Elementary School (math 53% / reading 42%, grade D, #298 of 1,228 statewide, top 24%, 657 students, 36% FRL); Harlem Middle School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 981 students, 39% FRL); Harlem High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,223 students, 33% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.55%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,516
- List price
- $211,900
- Delta
- -9.26%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1149 Clareton Dr Unit 7b | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 1mo | $232,000 | $189 | 86 |
| 1135 Clareton Dr Unit 5c | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,238 (+6%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $178 | 84 |
| 1151 Clareton Dr Unit 7c | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 5mo | $236,500 | $192 | 83 |
| 1147 Clareton Dr Unit 7a | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 6mo | $236,500 | $192 | 82 |
| 1324 Newbern Dr Unit 8c | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $189 | 79 |
| 1326 Newbern Dr Unit 8B | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 9mo | $239,900 | $195 | 79 |
| 1005 Candleberry Drive,1 Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+6%) | 5mo | $231,000 | $188 | 78 |
| 1030 Candleberry Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,238 (+6%) | 7mo | $229,000 | $185 | 78 |
| 817 Dara Cors | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+18%) | 3mo | $272,230 | $198 | 30 |
| 976 Raghorn Rd | 1.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+18%) | 5mo | $272,230 | $198 | 29 |
| 967 Raghorn Rd | 1.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+18%) | 6mo | $274,190 | $199 | 28 |
| 920 Raghorn Rd | 0.87mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+18%) | 8mo | $271,230 | $197 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-61,033
- Equity at exit
- $31,595
- IRR
- -50.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-95,280
- Equity at exit
- $18,321
Cash invested: $59,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30813
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,692 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,111
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$265 /mo · $3,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$246
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $-373
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-227 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-373 | +5% $-447 | +10% $-520 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-507 | -5% $-440 | +0% $-373 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-267 | -0.5pp $-319 | base $-373 | +0.5pp $-428 | +1.0pp $-484 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,975
- Closing costs
- $6,357
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4023 Rosedale Pl Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,935 | $1.38 | 63d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Green features: energy-efficient lighting and thermostat; ventilation for indoor air quality
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual feeAnnual association fee: $2,950 (approximately $245.83/month)Community amenities: Clubhouse, Park, Pool, Sidewalks, Street lights
Exterior
- Parking
- Concrete parking
- Security
- Smoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- TownhouseTwo levels (2 stories)Entry level: 1New construction
- Construction
- Vinyl siding and frame constructionComposition roofSlab foundationHome warranty included
- Exterior features
- Covered patio and porches including front and rear porchPatioLandscaped yardFront and rear sprinklersPaved road accessHas a viewNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeDishwasherDisposalMicrowaveENERGY STAR qualified appliancesPantryEat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- Total rooms: 5
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central airCeiling fan(s)Electric heatingForced airHeat pump
- Interior features
- Walk-in closetsEntrance foyerPantryEat-in kitchenInsulated windowsVented exhaust fanENERGY STAR qualified appliancesMicrowave
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup
HOA detail $246/mo · $2,952/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $211,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $211,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $211,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $211,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $211,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $211,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $211,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $211,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $211,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $211,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $211,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $211,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $211,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $211,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $211,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $211,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $211,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $211,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $211,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $211,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $211,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $211,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $211,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $211,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $211,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $211,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $211,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $211,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $211,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $211,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $211,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $211,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $211,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $211,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $211,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $211,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $211,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $211,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $211,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $211,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $211,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $211,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $211,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $211,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $211,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $211,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $211,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $211,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $211,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $211,900 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,309
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,870
- − Property taxes
- −$3,178
- − Insurance
- −$1,060
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,625
- − Management
- −$1,625
- − HOA
- −$2,952
- − Depreciation
- −$6,164
- Taxable loss
- −$8,164
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story townhome is in excellent condition with minimal maintenance required. It offers a spacious and well-maintained living area, modern appliances, and a private lanai. The property is located in a desirable neighborhood with a community pool and amenities.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms ↑
- Both Add decorative elements to the kitchen island — Decorative elements can make the kitchen island more functional and visually appealing ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Grovetown
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #5433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grovetown, GA
- County
- Columbia County · 189,073 people
- City population
- 52,466
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,466
- Household income
- $86,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.24%
- Current HPI
- 233.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $211,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $211,500 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $211,900 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…