4306 8th Ave · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity in Birmingham! This 3BR/2BA home needs some TLC but has great bones and is perfect for investors or owner-occupants looking to put their own touch on a property. Light renovations could go a long way here. Sold strictly as-is. Buyer to verify all information including square footage, schools, and room dimensions. No repairs will be made by seller. Contact listing agent for access.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; On-street parking; Parking deck; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Gas water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Wood siding; Existing construction
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; No decks; Lot of approximately 0.26 acres; Not in a flood plain; No notable lot view
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on upper level; One bedroom/primary-level bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Dual heating systems; Dual cooling systems
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Hardwood and laminate flooring; Laminate kitchen countertops; Gas oven
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.99%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 10th Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $52 | 86 |
| 4300 6th Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 16mo | $36,000 | $26 | 72 |
| 1232 Frisco St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (-1%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $68 | 70 |
| 1312 Gulfport St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,376 (+2%) | 10mo | $67,500 | $49 | 67 |
| 4118 11th Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,183 (-12%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $34 | 64 |
| 1226 Frisco St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-9%) | 8mo | $113,700 | $92 | 58 |
| 401 Lexington St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,410 (+4%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $43 | 57 |
| 1400 Gulfport St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,198 (-11%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $63 | 52 |
| 1322 Frisco St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,159 (-14%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $91 | 49 |
| 426 Memphis St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 9mo | $37,000 | $32 | 44 |
| 605 Oregon St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-15%) | 8mo | $114,500 | $99 | 41 |
| 405 Nevada St | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+11%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $37 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $18,813
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $53,162
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35224
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $829/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4623 6th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1421 | $1,175 | $0.83 | 11d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1221 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $950 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1226 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,245 | $1.01 | 11d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1232 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,295 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1300 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $1,200 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 604 Lexington St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 993 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1312 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1376 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 761 Crowne Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1400 Indiana St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 304 Nevada St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 528 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1165 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 229 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 229 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3015 Avenue C Unit C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3011 Avenue D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5223 Loop Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3201 Avenue E Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $925 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3517 Avenue F Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 518 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 521 41st St Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3212 Avenue G Unit G Ensley, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $850 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2711 Avenue E Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $800 | $0.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 728 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2908 Avenue I Unit I Ensley, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,025 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3100 Avenue J Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5001 Farrell Ave Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $995 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2722 Avenue I Unit I Ensley, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1578 | $1,000 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $900 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1309 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 504 Templeton Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $950 | $0.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 518 Oak Pl Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $875 | $0.71 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 513 Oak Pl Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 304 52nd St Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2617 Avenue K Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,495 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1313 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1437 | $975 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2520 Avenue L Unit A Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 813 46th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 328 54th St Unit B Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1570 | $750 | $0.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $59,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $64,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $69,999 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$85,000 Active
-
2000-06-20soldstatus $72,500
-
1989-09-13soldstatus $41,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$829
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,127
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,409
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.47%
- Current HPI
- 126.3423
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+107.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $85,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2000-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 1989-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $829 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…