1000 S Mckern Ct #61 · Newberg, OR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright, white and spacious home - picture perfect and ready for you to move in! Delightful home with many upgrades - quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, white new cabinetry and laminate flooring throughout. Primary bedroom features plenty of room for a King bed, large walk in closet and primary bathroom has spacious walk in shower. Split floor plan features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms - tidy and clean! Fenced back yard - this home is ready to go - call for your home tour!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Laminate flooring
- New cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $755 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.4% in Newberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#77 in OR, #3,395 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Newberg SD 29J (town): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #17 of 58 in OR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 238 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.98%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,876
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 15.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 S Mckern Ct #10 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+5%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $89 | 90 |
| 1000 S Mckern Ct #20 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-4%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $114 | 82 |
| 1000 S Mckern Ct #45 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 6mo | $121,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 2901 E 2nd St #60 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-7%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $82 | 67 |
| 2902 E 2nd St #67 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $63 | 64 |
| 2902 E 2nd St #95 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-3%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $143 | 63 |
| 2901 E 2nd St #47 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 9mo | $119,900 | $104 | 59 |
| 1000 S Mckern Ct #2 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-13%) | 22mo | $137,000 | $127 | 58 |
| 2901 E 2nd St #117 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+13%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $88 | 56 |
| 2902 E 2nd St #110 | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $61 | 56 |
| 2901 E 2nd St #123 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 18mo | $158,000 | $137 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $21,359
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $61,488
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97132
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,016 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $872/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $755
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $832 | -5% $794 | +0% $755 | +5% $717 | +10% $679 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $596 | -5% $676 | +0% $755 | +5% $835 | +10% $915 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $823 | -0.5pp $790 | base $755 | +0.5pp $720 | +1.0pp $685 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 S Corinne Dr Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1390 | $2,350 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2501 E 2nd St #12 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 480 S Lair Ln Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1345 | $2,395 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2203 E Sam Parrett Dr Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1386 | $2,399 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1005 Wynooski St Unit 7 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,675 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 401 S Everest St Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,625 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 704 N Elliott Rd Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1536 E 3rd St Unit 20 Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,725 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 601 Wynooski St Unit 201 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,850 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 601 Wynooski St Unit 100 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,745 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 901 N Pecan Ct Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,550 | $1.87 | 2d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 1418 E 2nd St Unit 10 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 611 Sitka Ave Unit 03 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 500 S River St #20 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,425 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2400 E Haworth Ave Newberg, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1025 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 2d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 1009 N Hulet Ave Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,250 | $1.59 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1109 S River St Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 969 | $1,812 | $1.87 | 2d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 1401 N Springbrook Rd Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 17d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 1401 N Springbrook Rd Apt 128 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2507 Hawthorne Dr Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1401 N Springbrook Rd Unit 220 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,600 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 905 S College St Unit B Newberg, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 606 E Ninth St Apt 34 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 606 E 9th St Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 21d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 4001 E Jory St Newberg, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $2,440 | $2.59 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 507 N Meridian St Apt 1 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,375 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4460 E Jory St Unit 114 Newberg, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,899 | $2.09 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $135,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $135,000 Pending 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Active 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
Bright, white and spacious home - picture perfect and ready for you to move in! Delightful home with many upgrades - quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, white new cabinetry and laminate flooring throughout. Primary bedroom features plenty of room for a King bed, large walk in closet and primary bathroom has spacious walk in shower. Split floor plan features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms - tidy and clean! Fenced back yard - this home is ready to go - call for your home tour!
-
2026-03-25status Pending 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
Bright, white and spacious home - picture perfect and ready for you to move in! Delightful home with many upgrades - quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, white new cabinetry and laminate flooring throughout. Primary bedroom features plenty of room for a King bed, large walk in closet and primary bathroom has spacious walk in shower. Split floor plan features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms - tidy and clean! Fenced back yard - this home is ready to go - call for your home tour!
-
2026-01-12$135,000 Active 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
Bright, white and spacious home - picture perfect and ready for you to move in! Delightful home with many upgrades - quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, white new cabinetry and laminate flooring throughout. Primary bedroom features plenty of room for a King bed, large walk in closet and primary bathroom has spacious walk in shower. Split floor plan features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms - tidy and clean! Fenced back yard - this home is ready to go - call for your home tour!
-
2024-08-21soldstatus $125,000 Closed 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
-
2024-07-15status Pending 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
-
2024-06-18price $135,000 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
-
2024-06-18price $209,500 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
-
2024-06-13price $137,500 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
-
2024-05-28$145,000 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Don't miss this tastefully updated home in a great neighborhood. Updates on this beauty include fresh paint inside, a designer kitchen w/ quartz counters and SS appliance. The home has all new flooring, doors, trim, fixtures and more. A brand new furnace and AC system are being installed within the next week. The vaulted ceilings large windows flood this home with natural light. Don't miss this one. Listing agent is a member of the LLC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$438/yr (+$36/mo · 50.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 4/10 Moderate
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,187
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$872
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,935
- − Management
- −$1,935
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $7,281
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,747
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newberg SD 29J
- NCES district ID
- 4108720
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,898
- Composite
- 33.6/100
- National rank
- #5414
- State rank
- #17 of 58 in OR
Livability — Newberg
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #3395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newberg, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 32,486
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,486
- Household income
- $96,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1311.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.11%
- Current HPI
- 320.8972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.55%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-6.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $135,000 RMLS
- 2024-08-21 Sold (MLS) $125,000 RMLS
- 2024-07-15 Pending — RMLS
- 2024-06-18 Price Changed $135,000 RMLS
- 2024-06-18 Price Changed $209,500 RMLS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $137,500 RMLS
- 2024-05-28 Listed $145,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $872 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…