🏗️ New Construction
1804 Taggart Trl · Bryan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$252,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are three secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, which are comfortable spaces for household members and overnight guests.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- Secondary bedrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $253k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-667/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (12.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mary Branch El (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 617 students, 83% FRL); Arthur L Davila Middle (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,044 students, 85% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: 434 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,490
- List price
- $252,990
- Delta
- -0.20%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 Taggart Trl | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,716 (0%) | 3mo | $264,990 | $154 | 95 |
| 2212 Jeter Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,676 (-2%) | 4mo | $252,390 | $151 | 81 |
| 2213 Jeter Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,859 (+8%) | 4mo | $282,140 | $152 | 78 |
| 2680 Fremont Ct | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,795 (+5%) | 1mo | $294,000 | $164 | 74 |
| 1808 Taggart Trl | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (+11%) | 2mo | $292,990 | $154 | 74 |
| 5544 Harriet St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,795 (+5%) | 3mo | $304,650 | $170 | 70 |
| 1825 Taggart Trl | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-14%) | 2mo | $247,540 | $167 | 67 |
| 1819 Taggart Trl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-14%) | 3mo | $239,990 | $162 | 67 |
| 2210 Jeter Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,484 (-14%) | 4mo | $252,990 | $170 | 66 |
| 5419 Bear Run | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,501 (-12%) | 4mo | $273,490 | $182 | 63 |
| 2038 Chief St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,605 (-6%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $165 | 60 |
| 5539 Harriet St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,501 (-12%) | 1mo | $278,261 | $185 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-44,552
- Equity at exit
- $37,796
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-43,086
- Equity at exit
- $21,917
Cash invested: $70,977 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 87 active · 48 under contract
- Months of supply
- 18.6 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $289,900 ($175/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 90 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77807
- Active inventory
- 434
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,329
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$317 /mo · $3,802/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$54
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $32 | +0% $-56 | +5% $-143 | +10% $-231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-231 | -5% $-143 | +0% $-56 | +5% $32 | +10% $119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $72 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-56 | +0.5pp $-121 | +1.0pp $-188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,372
- Closing costs
- $7,605
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5344 Samuel Run Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $2,075 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 5350 Samuel Run Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,100 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5322 Lyle Pl Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5433 Bear RUN Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $2,195 | $1.26 | 139d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1878 Taggart Trl Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1971 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $2,100 | $1.38 | 117d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1967 Lili Cv Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1833 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 6d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2010 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $2,250 | $1.40 | 139d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2148 Chief St Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 109d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2119 Chief St Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 109d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2115 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1531 | $2,200 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2111 Chief St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Builder: Lennar Homes
- HOA & community
- Community association with annual fee of $650Community poolTrails
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential propertyUnder construction (new construction)Single-story (entry level on first floor)Slab foundationComposition roofBuilt in 2026
- Construction
- Brick constructionBuilt in 2026Slab foundationComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Backyard fenceSubdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric ovenElectric rangeGas ovenGas range
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on the first floor (15 x 15)Three additional first-floor bedrooms (10 x 11; 10 x 10; 10 x 10)
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric and gas)Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features
- Breakfast barKitchen/family room comboKitchen/dining comboSeparate showerTub with shower
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $252,990 Active 104 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $252,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $252,990 Active 102 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $252,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $252,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $252,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $252,990 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $252,990 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $252,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $252,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $252,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $252,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $252,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $252,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $252,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $252,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-31pricedays on market $252,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $257,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $257,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $257,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $257,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $257,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $257,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $257,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $257,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $257,990 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-21pricedays on market $257,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $278,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $278,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $278,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $278,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $278,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $278,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $278,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $278,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $278,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $278,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $278,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $278,990 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $278,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $278,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $278,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $278,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $278,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $278,990 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $278,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $278,990 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $278,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $278,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $278,990 Active 41 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,199
- − Property taxes
- −$3,802
- − Insurance
- −$1,267
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − HOA
- −$648
- − Depreciation
- −$7,374
- Taxable loss
- −$4,960
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This new construction home is in excellent condition with a spacious floor plan and modern finishes. It is move-in ready and offers a great opportunity for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve home value. ↑
- Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort for potential buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 267,942 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,227
- Household income
- $74,375
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Black 14% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.38%
- Current HPI
- 186.1387
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+1.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Price Changed $283,990 HARMLS
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $283,990 Zillow
- 2026-06-13 Listed $280,990 Zillow
- 2026-06-12 Listed $280,990 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…