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33 Primrose Ave
B+ Composite 76.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,000

33 Primrose Ave · North Auburn, CA 95603
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition Est $120k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Edgewood Mobile Home Park is a well maintained park that has recently become an All-Age Community! Welcome to a home with charm and character. The entry to this home offers a delightfully raised deck allowing for outside entertaining or just quietly taking in the nicely landscaped front yard. You enter the home into an open-beamed, vaulted ceiling great room. The bedrooms are nicely located at opposite ends of the home providing privacy. Just over a year ago, the home was painted both inside and out and new vinyl plank flooring added. Approximately three years ago a new HVAC system was installed and kitchen appliances were upgraded. The stack washer/dryer and refrigerator transfer with sale

Key facts

  • Raised deck
  • New hvac system
  • Parking

Tags

RAISED DECKOPEN-BEAMED VAULTED CEILINGNEW HVAC SYSTEMUPGRADED KITCHEN APPLIANCESNICE SHED FOR STORAGECOMMUNITY GATHERING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land lease: No (listed land lease amount present in source but excluded per instructions)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking, no garage
  • Utilities: Cable available; Internet available; Master electric meter; 220V in kitchen; 220V in laundry; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park (double wide); Built in 1996
  • Construction: Composition roof; Wood skirting; Karsten manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Front yard with landscaping; Covered deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Free standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted great room; Covered deck; Pantry cabinet; Laminate kitchen counters; Dining bar / dining-living combo; Furnished negotiable; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer included inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 2.6% in North Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#519 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Placer Union High (suburban): math 39% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #98 of 517 in CA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
16.01%
Cash-on-cash
34.69%
DSCR
2.54
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Marigold Ave #110 0.13mi 3/— (+1) 1,190 (-1%) 6mo $140,000 $118 82
99 Marigold Ave #99 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,052 (-12%) 0mo $125,000 $119 74
1605 Grass Valley Hwy #84 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,246 (+4%) 14mo $125,000 $100 66
1514 Cottonwood Cir #8 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-4%) 5mo $99,000 $86 65
1605 Grass Valley Hwy #46 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 2mo $47,000 $35 63
12202 Hemlock Dr 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-4%) 6mo $120,000 $104 61
12366 Pepperwood Cir #182 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 3mo $110,000 $88 60
12207 Hemlock Dr #99 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 10mo $120,000 $96 56
1608 Spruce Ct 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-4%) 10mo $125,000 $109 56
12339 Pepperwood #12339 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 2mo $112,000 $83 45
1524 Tulip Cir #66 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 10mo $150,000 $112 44
12019 Hemlock Dr #150 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+12%) 9mo $121,000 $90 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$36,862
Equity at exit
$16,103
10-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
4.26×
Total profit
$98,447
Equity at exit
$9,338

Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95603

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,051 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$566
Tax est. 1.5%
$135 /mo · $1,620/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$874

Break-even live

Break-even rent $945
Max offer price $108,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,000
Closing costs
$3,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
731 Mikkelsen Dr Auburn, CA 2.0 2.0 1006 $2,150 $2.14 1d 1 1.03mi
327 Nevada St Apt 4 Auburn, CA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 1d 1 1.09mi
11754 Jones St Unit 11754 Auburn, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,595 $2.28 3d 1 1.16mi
11752 Jones St Unit 11752 Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 815 $1,795 $2.20 10d 1 1.16mi
630 Shockley Rd Auburn, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,495 $2.27 1d 1 1.20mi
560 Landis Cir Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 1188 $2,550 $2.15 1d 1 1.23mi
203 E Electric St Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,625 $1.48 1d 1 1.30mi
356 Chamberlain Ave Unit A Auburn, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,100 $3.00 16d 1 1.45mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,618
− Mortgage interest
−$6,050
− Property taxes
−$1,620
− Insurance
−$540
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,969
− Management
−$1,969
− Depreciation
−$3,142
Taxable income
$9,327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,239
After-tax cash flow
$8,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring and appliances. It has a well-maintained exterior and landscaping, making it a good candidate for a cosmetic rehab to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Kitchen backsplash — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Kitchen backsplash — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances curb appeal and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Placer Union High
NCES district ID
0630750
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$69,119
Composite
49.04/100
National rank
#2060
State rank
#98 of 517 in CA

Livability — North Auburn

Score
61/100
State rank
#519
US rank
#17512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Auburn, CA
County
Placer County · 390,510 people
City population
28,195
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
28,432
Household income
$85,357
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
1017.0

Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
422,709 people
By 2030
444,249 · +5.1%
By 2040
480,192 · +13.6%
By 2050
506,390 · +19.8%
By 2075
550,219 · +30.2%
By 2100
547,760 · +29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Placer

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -500.89%
Current HPI
251.4573
Rent YoY
▲ 2.34%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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