CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9006 Ledge St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,200

9006 Ledge St · Houston, TX 77075
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,467 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2004 10,001 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This nice house is waiting for your buyers, open concept nice size of bedrooms, bring an offer, owner will install a new carpet

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Ample cabinet space
  • Open concept layout

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTAMPLE CABINET SPACEBREAKFAST BARLARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2004
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard fence; Property is cleared

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (15 x 13); Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (12 x 11; 10 x 11)
  • Flooring: Engineered hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smoke detectors installed; Convection oven included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,200 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$246,456) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $2k).
  • Cap rate 638.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Pasadena ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #612 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rick Schneider Middle (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 575 students, 92% FRL); South Houston H S (math 50% / reading 33%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,213 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 71% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $66 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $616 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,200

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
67.61%
Cap rate
638.93%
Cash-on-cash
2259.42%
DSCR
101.53
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,456
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8830 Ledge St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-1%) 9mo $224,900 $154 84
9001 Judwin St 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,350 (-8%) 4mo $246,999 $183 76
8903 Freeland St 0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,458 (-1%) 4mo $225,000 $154 73
8906 Judwin St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,640 (+12%) 4mo $215,000 $131 68
9119 Edgebrook St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,303 (-11%) 10mo $224,500 $172 55
8842 Barton St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-13%) 2mo $185,000 $145 54
8842 Conger St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,303 (-11%) 9mo $188,500 $145 53
9119 Barton St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,272 (-13%) 7mo $214,000 $168 46
9515 Lower Ridgeway 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-10%) 10mo $221,500 $167 44
8678 Easthaven Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,651 (+12%) 0mo $354,990 $215 43
8676 Easthaven Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.5 1,651 (+12%) 0mo $339,990 $206 43
8672 Easthaven Blvd 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,651 (+12%) 3mo $354,990 $215 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
118.38×
Total profit
$72,304
Equity at exit
$328
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
249.70×
Total profit
$153,201
Equity at exit
$190

Cash invested: $616 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77075

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,487 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $33/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$1,160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $19
Max offer price $2,200
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$550
Closing costs
$66
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9130 Arledge St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,700 $1.36 43d 1 0.54mi
9465 Clearwood Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,240 $1.21 5d 1 0.68mi
9465 Clearwood Dr Unit 9498 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,375 $1.12 43d 1 0.68mi
9465 Clearwood Dr Unit 9522 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,265 $1.23 43d 1 0.68mi
9465 Clearwood Dr Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,232 $1.20 3d 1 0.68mi
9465 Clearwood Dr Unit 3174 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,332 $1.08 3d 1 0.68mi
13 Ledge St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,079 $0.90 20d 1 0.69mi
9220 Nathaniel St Unit 9253 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,302 $1.08 3d 1 0.71mi
9800 Hollock St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 820 $1,315 $1.60 2d 33 0.77mi
9806 Hollock St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 965 $1,111 $1.15 24d 1 0.87mi
9815 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 510 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,773 $1.37 12d 1 0.94mi
9815 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 9842 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 956 $1,471 $1.54 3d 1 0.94mi
9815 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 9848 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,781 $1.38 3d 1 0.94mi
9757 Windwater Dr Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1017 $1,290 $1.27 11d 1 0.97mi
9757 Windwater Dr Unit 9814 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1017 $1,247 $1.23 3d 1 0.98mi
9763 Windwater Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 916 $1,149 $1.25 43d 1 0.98mi
9750 Windwater Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 856 $1,662 $1.94 1d 13 1.02mi
1227 Redford St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 966 $1,184 $1.23 24d 1 1.11mi
9150 Blackhawk Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 834 $1,550 $1.86 2d 1 1.11mi
10915 Gulf Fwy Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1286 $1,400 $1.09 43d 1 1.13mi
10915 Gulf Fwy Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1286 $1,400 $1.09 20d 1 1.13mi
10915 Gulf Fwy Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,110 $1.05 22d 1 1.13mi
10915 Gulf Fwy Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,110 $1.05 19d 1 1.13mi
1221 Redford St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 877 $1,308 $1.49 2d 60 1.14mi
1223 Shawnee St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,695 $1.54 43d 1 1.15mi
9988 Windmill Lakes Blvd Unit 10045 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1047 $1,125 $1.07 17d 1 1.15mi
9988 Windmill Lakes Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 859 $1,290 $1.50 2d 15 1.17mi
9994 Windmill Lakes Blvd Unit 817 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1047 $1,280 $1.22 43d 1 1.24mi
10909 Gulf Fwy Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 816 $1,430 $1.75 2d 154 1.27mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,502 $1.43 11d 1 1.31mi
8020 Botany Ln Unit 1546255P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1388 $3,226 $2.32 17d 1 1.32mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 10137 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,491 $1.42 10d 1 1.34mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 10133 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,978 $1.61 10d 1 1.34mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,459 $1.39 3d 1 1.34mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 10157 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,467 $1.39 43d 1 1.34mi
10100 Almeda-Genoa Rd Unit 3165 Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,946 $1.58 3d 1 1.34mi
8600 Theta St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 766 $1,179 $1.54 2d 25 1.34mi
10280 Windmill Lakes Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $1,410 $1.81 2d 9 1.35mi
10121 Windmill Lakes Blvd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 914 $1,445 $1.58 11d 1 1.36mi
10121 Windmill Lakes Blvd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $1,491 $1.83 20d 17 1.37mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    remarks 521-char remark
  2. 2026-06-16
    listed $2,200 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,849
− Mortgage interest
−$123
− Property taxes
−$33
− Insurance
−$11
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,428
− Management
−$1,428
− Depreciation
−$64
Taxable income
$14,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,543
After-tax cash flow
$10,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasadena ISD
NCES district ID
4834320
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$45,163
Composite
26.15/100
National rank
#7275
State rank
#612 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
40,626
Household income
$69,191
Rent vs Own
39.6% rent · 60.4% own
Severe rent burden
1573.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 34% Black 14% White 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 60% Vietnamese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.33%
Current HPI
260.3733
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $2,200 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-02 Rental Removed $1,950 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $1,950 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-16 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
  • 2017-08-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-07-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-07-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-06-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $157,500 HARMLS
  • 2004-08-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-06-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2004-03-17 Listed $117,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,671 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…