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103 Decatur St
D Composite 43.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$295,000

103 Decatur St · Portsmouth, VA 23702
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · Other public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1941 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Built 1941

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA/POA fees reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway parking; Street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached home; Bungalow / Ranch style; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl and slab foundation; Built on approximately 0.13 acres
  • Exterior features: Patio; Back partial chain-link fence; Storage shed; Accessory dwelling unit (ADU)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor; In-law suite
  • Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Pull-down attic stairs; Scuttle attic access
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (16.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cradock Elementary (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,108 statewide, top 92%, 622 students, 98% FRL); Cradock Middle (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D+, #257 of 342 statewide, top 77%, 533 students, 100% FRL); Manor High (math 48% / reading 75%, grade B-, #240 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 1,236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,130/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 534% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $295k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $212,952 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.09%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$144,837
Equity at exit
$265,759
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
6.39×
Total profit
$445,009
Equity at exit
$573,120

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23702

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,130 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax from tax record
$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$447
Net cashflow
$-281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,486
Max offer price $245,318
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-114 -5% $-198 +0% $-281 +5% $-365 +10% $-448
Rent -10% $-449 -5% $-365 +0% $-281 +5% $-197 +10% $-113
Rate -1.0pp $-133 -0.5pp $-206 base $-281 +0.5pp $-358 +1.0pp $-435

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
213 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,450 $1.36 46d 1 0.23mi
10 Parkside Pl Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,095 $1.16 19d 1 0.30mi
134 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,450 $1.70 45d 1 0.43mi
35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA 4.0 1.5 1462 $2,100 $1.44 14d 1 0.77mi
2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 25d 1 0.92mi
2509 Smithfield Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1540 $2,345 $1.52 23d 1 0.92mi
231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,275 $1.21 12d 1 0.99mi
231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,275 $1.16 21d 1 0.99mi
251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1294 $2,550 $1.97 25d 1 1.04mi
213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,300 $1.80 25d 1 1.15mi
1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,500 $1.39 45d 1 1.22mi
1061 Saint Julian Dr Chesapeake, VA 4.0 2.0 1611 $2,550 $1.58 25d 1 1.31mi
2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,100 $1.91 45d 1 1.34mi
1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1152 $1,750 $1.52 45d 1 1.35mi
2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1428 $1,425 $1.00 19d 1 1.35mi
2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1428 $1,425 $1.00 16d 1 1.35mi
1114 Woodland Terrace Dr Chesapeake, VA 3.0 1.0 1223 $2,000 $1.64 25d 1 1.44mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 12d 1 1.46mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $295,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $295,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,524 · $294/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,524 · $294/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,554
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$3,524
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,044
− Management
−$2,044
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable loss
−$8,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,073
After-tax cash flow
$-1,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
12,485
Household income
$48,835
Rent vs Own
53.8% rent · 46.2% own
Severe rent burden
534.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.70%
Current HPI
340.0817
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $295,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $295,000 REINMLS
  • 2024-02-10 Pending REINMLS
  • 2024-02-05 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2024-01-05 Price Changed $244,500 REINMLS
  • 2024-01-04 Price Changed $249,000 REINMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Listed $249,500 REINMLS
  • 2023-06-13 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2023-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-10 Pending REINMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Listed $130,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,524 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…