103 Decatur St · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Built 1941
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA/POA fees reported
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway parking; Street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Detached home; Bungalow / Ranch style; Single-story
- Construction: Brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl and slab foundation; Built on approximately 0.13 acres
- Exterior features: Patio; Back partial chain-link fence; Storage shed; Accessory dwelling unit (ADU)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Refrigerator; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor; In-law suite
- Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Pull-down attic stairs; Scuttle attic access
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (27.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cradock Elementary (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,108 statewide, top 92%, 622 students, 98% FRL); Cradock Middle (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D+, #257 of 342 statewide, top 77%, 533 students, 100% FRL); Manor High (math 48% / reading 75%, grade B-, #240 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 1,236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,130/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 534% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $295k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.09%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $144,837
- Equity at exit
- $265,759
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.39×
- Total profit
- $445,009
- Equity at exit
- $573,120
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23702
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $-281
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-114 | -5% $-198 | +0% $-281 | +5% $-365 | +10% $-448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-449 | -5% $-365 | +0% $-281 | +5% $-197 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-133 | -0.5pp $-206 | base $-281 | +0.5pp $-358 | +1.0pp $-435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 46d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 10 Parkside Pl Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,095 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 134 Monmouth St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,450 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1462 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2509 Smithfield Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,345 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $2,550 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1061 Saint Julian Dr Chesapeake, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,550 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1114 Woodland Terrace Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1223 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $295,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18$295,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,524 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,524 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,554
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$3,524
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,044
- − Management
- −$2,044
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$8,639
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,073
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,485
- Household income
- $48,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 534.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.70%
- Current HPI
- 340.0817
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+126.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $295,000 REINMLS
- 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $295,000 REINMLS
- 2024-02-10 Pending — REINMLS
- 2024-02-05 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2024-01-05 Price Changed $244,500 REINMLS
- 2024-01-04 Price Changed $249,000 REINMLS
- 2023-12-06 Listed $249,500 REINMLS
- 2023-06-13 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2023-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-10 Pending — REINMLS
- 2023-05-01 Listed $130,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,524 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…