207 Wilson St · Quitaque, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 207 Wilson Street in Quitaque, Texas! This solid brick 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers comfort, value, and small-town charm at an affordable price point. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or searching for an investment opportunity, this property is one you won't want to miss. Inside, you'll find a functional layout featuring spacious bedrooms with walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage and convenience. Outside, enjoy a large fenced backyard with room for kids, pets, gardening, or entertaining. The covered back patio is the perfect place to relax and enjoy peaceful Texas evenings. Located just minutes from Caprock Canyons State Park, outdoor enthu
Key facts
- Covered back patio
- Excellent location
- Solid brick exterior
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (detached), 2 carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Gas water heater
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on 1 story
- Exterior features: Private yard; Concrete and gravel road access; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.24%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $27,290
- Equity at exit
- $44,964
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $75,864
- Equity at exit
- $69,295
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79255
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,583/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,583 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$247/yr (+$21/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,583
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,362
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843400
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,595
- Composite
- 47.3/100
- National rank
- #5051
- State rank
- #262 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Quitaque
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #951
- US rank
- #16927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quitaque, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 448
Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,366 people
- By 2030
- 1,300 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 1,176 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 1,054 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 865 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 691 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $100,000 LARMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,583 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…