🏷️ Likely Rental
303 N Rhodes St · West Memphis, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
Key facts
- $115 HOA
- Built 1978
- Listed 77 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/12.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.76%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $121,392
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -42.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $20,709
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $59,456
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72301
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $337/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$115
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $115 · $1,380/yr
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $70,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-14soldstatus $68,000 Closed 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-04-25status Pending 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
UNIT #3 --2 bedroom 1.5 bath condo -end unit HOA fee is $115 per month and includes lawn and grounds maintenance , exterior pest, termite, water , sewer building maintenance and liability insurance
-
2026-04-24$69,900 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
UNIT #3 --2 bedroom 1.5 bath condo -end unit HOA fee is $115 per month and includes lawn and grounds maintenance , exterior pest, termite, water , sewer building maintenance and liability insurance
-
2026-04-02price $70,000
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-04-02status Pending 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-04-02$70,000 Active
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-23soldstatus $70,000 Closed
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2026-01-23$70,000 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-01-23price $210,000
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-01-23$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Dannerwoods single condo for sale or can include in package deal currently rented for $950 per month
-
2026-01-13status Pending
-
2025-10-17$280,000 Active
-
2025-10-17$70,000 Active
-
2023-12-15soldstatus $54,000 Closed
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2023-11-22status Pending
-
2023-09-27$59,900 Active
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2022-05-18soldstatus $51,000
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2022-02-17$80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $337 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 32.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$337
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − HOA
- −$1,380
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Memphis School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508040
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,382
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9647
- State rank
- #224 of 238 in AR
Livability — West Memphis
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #23638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Memphis, AR
- City population
- 24,182
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,182
Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,254 people
- By 2030
- 42,953 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 38,235 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 33,670 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,315 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 17,173 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.63%
- Current HPI
- 182.7665
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Sold (MLS) $68,000 EARA
- 2026-04-25 Pending — EARA
- 2026-04-24 Listed $69,900 EARA
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $70,000 EARA
- 2026-04-02 Pending — EARA
- 2026-04-02 Listed $70,000 EARA
- 2026-03-25 Pending — EARA
- 2026-03-23 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-03 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $70,000 EARA
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $210,000 EARA
- 2026-01-23 Listed $69,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-01-13 Pending — EARA
- 2025-10-17 Listed $70,000 EARA
- 2025-10-17 Listed $280,000 EARA
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $54,000 EARA
- 2023-11-22 Pending — EARA
- 2023-09-27 Listed $59,900 EARA
- 2022-05-18 Sold (MLS) $51,000 EARA
- 2022-02-17 Listed $80,000 EARA
Property tax history
+23.0%/yrLatest (2025): $337 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…