80S939CS Plan · Lehigh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sale Pending. - - The perfect combination of luxury and value, this three-bedroom two-bathroom home offers plenty of space, comfort, and style! Featuring a spacious master bedroom with a private bath and generous walk-in closet and two additional bedrooms. This home is perfect for everything from entertaining to enjoying a quiet evening of relaxation. The beautiful kitchen offers plenty of counter and storage space, making preparing meals and storing everything you need a breeze. Priced to move, this amazing home won't last long - call today and see just how easy ownership can be!
Key facts
- Listed 785 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $998 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Northampton Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #153 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 785 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 785 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.29%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,000
- List price
- $76,000
- Delta
- -17.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Duke St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $58 | 86 |
| 95 Nashua St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $55 | 71 |
| 19 E Zimmer Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 10mo | $133,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 1237 Valley Forge Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-2%) | 10mo | $112,000 | $94 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $51,285
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.95×
- Total profit
- $126,634
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18088
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,928 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$95 /mo · $1,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $998
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,000 Active 785 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,000 Active 784 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,000 Active 783 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,000 Active 782 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $76,000 Active 780 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,000 Active 777 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,000 Active 776 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,000 Active 775 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 774 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $76,000 Active 771 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $76,000 Active 770 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,000 Active 769 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,000 Active 768 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 767 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 766 DOM
-
2024-04-24$76,000 Active 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
Sale Pending. - - The perfect combination of luxury and value, this three-bedroom two-bathroom home offers plenty of space, comfort, and style! Featuring a spacious master bedroom with a private bath and generous walk-in closet and two additional bedrooms. This home is perfect for everything from entertaining to enjoying a quiet evening of relaxation. The beautiful kitchen offers plenty of counter and storage space, making preparing meals and storing everything you need a breeze. Priced to move, this amazing home won't last long - call today and see just how easy ownership can be!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$1,140
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,851
- − Management
- −$1,851
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $11,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,748
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom vanity — small size, standard fixtures
- Minor landscaping — simple landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen
- Resale upgrade bathroom vanity — improves bathroom functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom vanity · small size, standard fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · simple landscaping | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen ↑
- Resale upgrade bathroom vanity — improves bathroom functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northampton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217370
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,326
- Composite
- 44.35/100
- National rank
- #2822
- State rank
- #153 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lehigh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,162
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 7% Romanian 3% Danish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · India, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.19%
- Current HPI
- 203.2109
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2024-04-24 Listed $76,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…