2106 Russell Ave SW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,010
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vacant.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 132 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $121k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $121k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $836 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.77%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,343
- List price
- $121,010
- Delta
- -49.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1827 Roanoke Ave SW | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,044 (-6%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $206 | 77 |
| 2405 Roanoke Ave SW | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (+4%) | 7mo | $147,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 2213 Russell Ave SW | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,053 (-5%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $195 | 73 |
| 1819 Westover Ave SW | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,161 (+4%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $228 | 58 |
| 2435 Denniston Ave SW | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,085 (-2%) | 4mo | $194,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 105 19th St SW | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+6%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $136 | 51 |
| 2228 Mountain View Ter SW | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+13%) | 22mo | $258,000 | $206 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,439
- Equity at exit
- $18,043
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $32,224
- Equity at exit
- $10,463
Cash invested: $33,883 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24015
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$635
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $215 | +0% $181 | +5% $147 | +10% $113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $78 | -5% $130 | +0% $181 | +5% $233 | +10% $284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $242 | -0.5pp $212 | base $181 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,252
- Closing costs
- $3,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 Oxford Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2210 Berkley Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2251 Mountain View Ter SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $988 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1517 Lexington Ave SW Unit 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $1,050 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1517 Lexington Ave SW Unit 3 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $1,025 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1825 Patterson Ave SW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1630 Patterson Ave SW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2216 Memorial Ave SW Unit 2218 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1609 Chapman Ave SW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,545 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1701 Westover Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,045 | $1.19 | 44d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 2307 Memorial Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,035 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2325 Memorial Ave SW Unit 6 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,125 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2325 Memorial Avenue SW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 14d | 3 | 0.54mi |
| 1732 Grandin Rd SW Unit 57 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,045 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1732 Grandin Rd SW Apt 55 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $995 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1732 Grandin Rd SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $980 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1716 Grandin Rd SW Unit 7 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1709 Sherwood Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1219 Valley Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1215 Valley Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,650 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1924 Arden Rd SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,550 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2601 Westover Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $940 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1106 Campbell Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1520 Sherwood Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1301 Burks St SW Unit 204 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $890 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 10 12 1/2 St SW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 999 | $1,023 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2627 Westover Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,015 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2633 Westover Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,045 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2633 Westover Ave SW Unit 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,045 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2432 Brandon Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,275 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 733 29th St NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,625 | $1.59 | 14d | 4 | 1.05mi |
| 1920 Melrose Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $950 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1331 Main St SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,023 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2615 Laburnum Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $1,825 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2615 Laburnum Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 802 Rorer Ave SW Apt A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $895 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2744 Melrose Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 936 | $1,045 | $1.12 | 14d | 7 | 1.19mi |
| 743 Suburban Ave SW Unit Suburban 745 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 701 Salem Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1116 Fairfax Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,010 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,010 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $121,010 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,010 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $121,010 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $121,010 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $121,010 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,010 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $121,010 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $121,010 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $121,010 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $121,010 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $121,010 Active 115 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $121,010 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $121,010 Active 113 DOM
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2026-02-12price $121,010 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2026-02-12status Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2026-02-12historical
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2026-02-05$121,010 Active
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2026-01-05price $123,480 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2025-12-03status Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2025-11-09status Pending 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2025-11-09historical 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2025-11-03$126,000 Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
-
2025-04-05status Pending
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2025-04-03historical
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2025-03-07price $126,000
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2024-12-20price $129,500
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2024-11-06price $134,950
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2024-09-21price $138,000
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2024-08-26$142,500 Active
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2016-12-28soldstatus $125,000
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2006-12-04soldstatus $44,970
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2006-12-01soldstatus $44,970
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2006-12-01soldstatus $44,970
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2006-04-17$59,900
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2002-03-28soldstatus $17,500
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2001-10-11$18,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,175 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,175 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,778
- − Property taxes
- −$1,175
- − Insurance
- −$1,403
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$3,520
- Taxable income
- $274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$66
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,865
- Household income
- $69,831
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 525.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -333.83%
- Current HPI
- 192.3108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.39%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+543.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $121,010 MLSRV
- 2026-02-12 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2026-02-05 Listed $121,010 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $123,480 MLSRV
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — MLSRV
- 2025-11-09 Pending — MLSRV
- 2025-11-09 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-11-03 Listed $126,000 MLSRV
- 2025-04-05 Pending — MLSRV
- 2025-04-03 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $126,000 MLSRV
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $129,500 MLSRV
- 2024-11-06 Price Changed $134,950 MLSRV
- 2024-09-21 Price Changed $138,000 MLSRV
- 2024-08-26 Listed $142,500 MLSRV
- 2016-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-04 Sold (MLS) $44,970 MLSRV
- 2006-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,970 Public Records
- 2006-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,970 Public Records
- 2006-04-17 Listed $59,900 MLSRV
- 2002-03-28 Sold (MLS) $17,500 CVRMLS
- 2001-10-11 Listed $18,800 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,175 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…