604 Wabash Ave · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***AGENT RELATED*** 4 unit building for sale. The bottom 2 units have long term tenants, 8+ years each. 1 upper unit is vacant. Owner pays water, sewer, gas and provides a dumpster for the tenants.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near dining
- Near shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/7.0-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,554
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $41,763
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1104 Bel Aire Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 537 Vicksburg Dr Unit h Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,190 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1009 Belle Valley Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2056 Huntmaster Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,525 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2917 West Blvd Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1953 Richmond Springs Ln Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 603 W Lincoln St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $750 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-20price $109,900
-
2026-02-26$159,900 Active
-
2017-09-07soldstatus $25,000
-
2017-09-06status Pending 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
***AGENT RELATED*** 4 unit building for sale. The bottom 2 units have long term tenants, 8+ years each. 1 upper unit is vacant. Owner pays water, sewer, gas and provides a dumpster for the tenants.
-
2017-09-06soldstatus Closed 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
***AGENT RELATED*** 4 unit building for sale. The bottom 2 units have long term tenants, 8+ years each. 1 upper unit is vacant. Owner pays water, sewer, gas and provides a dumpster for the tenants.
-
2017-08-28price $25,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
***AGENT RELATED*** 4 unit building for sale. The bottom 2 units have long term tenants, 8+ years each. 1 upper unit is vacant. Owner pays water, sewer, gas and provides a dumpster for the tenants.
-
2017-03-30$44,900 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
***AGENT RELATED*** 4 unit building for sale. The bottom 2 units have long term tenants, 8+ years each. 1 upper unit is vacant. Owner pays water, sewer, gas and provides a dumpster for the tenants.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,828 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,828 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,828
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $106
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+144.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-06 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-28 Price Changed $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-30 Listed $44,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,828 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…