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11 Kings Cir
B Composite 70.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

11 Kings Cir · Brooksville, FL 34601
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1974 5,882 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Near restaurants

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENINSIDE UTILITY ROOMNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned R
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 92; Lot about 0.14 acres (≈546 m²)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Ductless heating components; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 0.6% in Brooksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#377 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Moton Elementary School (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 679 students, 79% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.34%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,000
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 Wilson Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,032 (+5%) 8mo $217,000 $210 49
404 E Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Blvd 0.53mi 2/1.0 (+1) 864 (-12%) 2mo $100,000 $116 49
328 Duke St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-14%) 19mo $168,000 $200 34
828 Leonard St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (+1) 840 (-14%) 18mo $35,000 $42 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$14,485
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$36,866
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34601

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
492
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
253 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 1.0 1.0 667 $1,275 $1.91 24d 1 0.21mi
265 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 1.0 1.0 667 $1,229 $1.84 24d 1 0.22mi
113 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,395 $1.83 17d 1 0.24mi
199 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,395 $1.83 5d 1 0.24mi
181 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 714 $1,275 $1.79 12d 4 0.25mi
109 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,299 $1.71 17d 1 0.26mi
105 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,395 $1.83 5d 1 0.26mi
131 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,395 $1.83 5d 1 0.26mi
87 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 761 $1,295 $1.70 5d 1 0.26mi
222 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL 1.0 1.0 667 $1,275 $1.91 5d 1 0.27mi
460 Hale Ave Brooksville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 767 $1,145 $1.49 5d 2 1.07mi
932 Freedom Way Brooksville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 917 $1,053 $1.15 24d 1 1.18mi
614 W Fort Dade Ave Brooksville, FL 1.0 1.0 1046 $925 $0.88 24d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    * * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 554-char remark
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    * * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.

  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $69,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    * * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.

  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $69,000 Active 554-char remark
    Show marketing remark (554 chars)

    * * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,741 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,741 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,068
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,741
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,205
− Management
−$1,205
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$4,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$4,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Brooksville

Score
71/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#6668

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brooksville, FL
County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
City population
57,094
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,115
Household income
$60,440
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
664.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.68%
Current HPI
313.4695
Rent YoY
▲ 0.19%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Pending HCAR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $69,000 HCAR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+24.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,741 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…