11 Kings Cir · Brooksville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Near shopping
- Near restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property zoned R
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 92; Lot about 0.14 acres (≈546 m²)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Ductless heating components; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 0.6% in Brooksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#377 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Moton Elementary School (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 679 students, 79% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.34%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,000
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Wilson Ave | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+5%) | 8mo | $217,000 | $210 | 49 |
| 404 E Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Blvd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-12%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 328 Duke St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-14%) | 19mo | $168,000 | $200 | 34 |
| 828 Leonard St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-14%) | 18mo | $35,000 | $42 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $14,485
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $36,866
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34601
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,275 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 265 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,229 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 113 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 199 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 181 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,275 | $1.79 | 12d | 4 | 0.25mi |
| 109 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,299 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 105 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 131 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 87 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,295 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 222 Dryden Pl Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 667 | $1,275 | $1.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 460 Hale Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,145 | $1.49 | 5d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 932 Freedom Way Brooksville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $1,053 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 614 W Fort Dade Ave Brooksville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $925 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.
-
2026-04-16$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.
-
2026-04-16$69,000 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
* * * Multiple Offers * * * Highest & Best Offers Are Due By 1:00 PM On April 23, 2026 * * * Investor alert! Three-bedroom, one-bath home located in the heart of Brooksville. The property features an eat-in kitchen and an inside utility room, and is conveniently located near downtown, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This is an excellent opportunity for a buy-and-hold investment or a fix-and-flip. The property is subject to a three-day First Look period, and the seller will begin negotiating offers once that period has expired.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,741
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,205
- − Management
- −$1,205
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $4,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,348/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brooksville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #377
- US rank
- #6668
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brooksville, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- City population
- 57,094
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,115
- Household income
- $60,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 664.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.68%
- Current HPI
- 313.4695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Pending — HCAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $69,000 HCAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+24.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,741 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…