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53 Wolcott St Duplex
C Composite 59.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

53 Wolcott St · Waterbury, CT 06705
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,742 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1828 5,227 sqft lot $172/sqft · at area comps Est $306k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Two family home with 3 beds 1 bath per floor. Each floor has it's personal porch. Laundry available in basement. Great investment opportunity or multi-generational home sharing.

Key facts

  • Laundry available
  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots

Tags

LAUNDRY AVAILABLEMULTI-GENERATIONAL HOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (paved); 3 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Multi-family (2-family) property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete foundation; Concrete construction; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Corner lot; Private paved driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil-fired), fuel tank located in basement
  • Interior features: Total of 10 rooms; Full basement with walk-out; Attic with pull-down stairs
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $314/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,441/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1690% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1828 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $299,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1828 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
8.99%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$305,706
List price
$299,000
Delta
-2.19%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Cossett St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,804 (+4%) 11mo $279,900 $155 67
52 Beech St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,756 (+1%) 9mo $300,000 $171 66
80 Orange St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,688 (-3%) 14mo $440,000 $261 64
173 Wall St 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,920 (+10%) 16mo $450,000 $234 60
40 Shelley St 0.15mi 4/2.5 1,938 (+11%) 16mo $300,000 $155 59
360 Mill St 0.68mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (-4%) 5mo $250,000 $149 53
10 Violet St 0.61mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,653 (-5%) 20mo $271,500 $164 38
1 Ash St 0.43mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,540 (-12%) 20mo $239,000 $155 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-7,133
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$50,838
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06705

Home prices YoY
-11.0%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,441 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$398 /mo · $4,780/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$723
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,647
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $797 -5% $712 +0% $627 +5% $543 +10% $458
Rent -10% $356 -5% $492 +0% $627 +5% $763 +10% $899
Rate -1.0pp $778 -0.5pp $704 base $627 +0.5pp $550 +1.0pp $471

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
779 E Main St Unit 2nd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1149 $1,400 $1.22 24d 1 0.06mi
214 Oak St Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,700 $1.39 12d 1 0.21mi
30 Walnut Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 0.26mi
25 Laurel St #1 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.27mi
46 Webb St Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 44d 1 0.33mi
29 Bouley Ave Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1267 $3,000 $2.37 44d 1 0.52mi
5 Hill St Unit B,D Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 15d 1 0.76mi
53 Cooke St Unit 3rd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 0.81mi
75 Alma St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1143 $1,850 $1.62 44d 1 0.94mi
1105 N Main St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1316 $2,200 $1.67 22d 1 0.95mi
1105 N Main St Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1316 $2,200 $1.67 44d 1 0.95mi
49 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 12d 1 1.01mi
203 Cooke St Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1472 $2,000 $1.36 44d 1 1.01mi
127 Pearl St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,000 $1.65 44d 1 1.02mi
228 Cooke St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1523 $2,500 $1.64 44d 1 1.05mi
150 Platt St Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.5 1602 $2,250 $1.40 45d 1 1.06mi
259 Grove St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 44d 1 1.09mi
114 Buckingham St Unit 3rd Floor Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1418 $1,750 $1.23 44d 1 1.12mi
114 Buckingham St Unit 1st floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,750 $1.23 44d 1 1.12mi
1120 Baldwin St Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 44d 1 1.15mi
18 Cliff St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,650 $1.43 44d 1 1.17mi
59 Baldwin Ave Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 44d 1 1.17mi
184 Buckingham St #2 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,950 $1.22 24d 1 1.23mi
55 Clifton Ave Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.5 1744 $2,100 $1.20 22d 1 1.27mi
180 Willow St Unit 2nd Floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,400 $1.30 44d 1 1.30mi
127 Congress Ave Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 44d 1 1.32mi
143 Congress Ave Unit 2 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1050 $1,800 $1.71 44d 1 1.34mi
236 Hillside Ave Unit 3 Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 15d 1 1.34mi
219 Woodlawn Ter Unit 3rd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,500 $1.39 44d 1 1.37mi
221 Willow St Unit 2ND Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1294 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 1.38mi
142 Chestnut Ave Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 44d 1 1.41mi
91 Ridgewood St Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 24d 1 1.41mi
64 Fairview St Unit 1 Waterbury, CT 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,750 $1.83 44d 1 1.43mi
82 Middlefield Ave Unit 2nd Floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,900 $1.56 22d 1 1.45mi
468 Congress Ave Unit third floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 24d 1 1.49mi
197 Chestnut Ave Unit 2nd floor Waterbury, CT 3.0 1.0 1486 $1,500 $1.01 12d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $299,000 Active 177-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,780 · $398/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,589 · $466/mo
Expected delta
+$809/yr (+$67/mo · 16.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,292
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$4,780
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,303
− Management
−$3,303
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$2,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$711
After-tax cash flow
$6,819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
25,266
Household income
$53,954
Rent vs Own
48.8% rent · 51.2% own
Severe rent burden
1690.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 34% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 22% Two or more races 14% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Hispanic 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.50%
Current HPI
304.4948
Rent YoY
▲ 3.37%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,780 · +84.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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