254 Rabbit Run · Montgomeryville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the 55+ community of Neshaminy Falls, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner home is a Schult Cedarknoll model, a rare layout known for its room size and storage. The home includes a wider driveway, a covered front porch, and an enclosed porch. The interior has been freshly painted, with new carpeting in most rooms . The living room features a cathedral ceiling and bay window. The formal dining room includes a built-in china cabinet and sliding glass doors leading to the enclosed porch. The eat-in kitchen offers newer appliances, a deep sink with updated faucet, pendant lighting, and a breakfast booth. There is also a bar cabinet with glass shelves and a sink. The family room includes a built-in corner cabinet with a tabletop suitable for a TV. Two bedrooms and a full hall bath are located toward the rear of the home, along with a hallway linen closet. The utility room includes a washer, dryer, closet, and additional storage space. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the home and includes an brand new walk-in shower with a vanity, , toilet, and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Wider driveway
- Corner home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.9% in Montgomeryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#327 in PA, #2,871 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D, commute F.
- North Penn SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #76 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.34%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $2,241
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $67,492
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19454
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,613 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $579
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $714 | -5% $647 | +0% $579 | +5% $511 | +10% $443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $372 | -5% $475 | +0% $579 | +5% $682 | +10% $785 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $699 | -0.5pp $640 | base $579 | +0.5pp $516 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Filly Dr North Wales, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2178 | $3,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 415 Stump Rd North Wales, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $2,702 | $3.27 | 2d | 17 | 0.90mi |
| 204 Livingston Ct North Wales, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1281 | $2,500 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
Located in the 55+ community of Neshaminy Falls, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner home is a Schult Cedarknoll model, a rare layout known for its room size and storage. The home includes a wider driveway, a covered front porch, and an enclosed porch. The interior has been freshly painted, with new carpeting in most rooms . The living room features a cathedral ceiling and bay window. The formal dining room includes a built-in china cabinet and sliding glass doors leading to the enclosed porch. The eat-in kitchen offers newer appliances, a deep sink with updated faucet, pendant lighting, and a breakfast booth. There is also a bar cabinet with glass shelves and a sink. The family room includes a built-in corner cabinet with a tabletop suitable for a TV. Two bedrooms and a full hall bath are located toward the rear of the home, along with a hallway linen closet. The utility room includes a washer, dryer, closet, and additional storage space. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the home and includes an brand new walk-in shower with a vanity, , toilet, and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-26price $239,900 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
Located in the 55+ community of Neshaminy Falls, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner home is a Schult Cedarknoll model, a rare layout known for its room size and storage. The home includes a wider driveway, a covered front porch, and an enclosed porch. The interior has been freshly painted, with new carpeting in most rooms . The living room features a cathedral ceiling and bay window. The formal dining room includes a built-in china cabinet and sliding glass doors leading to the enclosed porch. The eat-in kitchen offers newer appliances, a deep sink with updated faucet, pendant lighting, and a breakfast booth. There is also a bar cabinet with glass shelves and a sink. The family room includes a built-in corner cabinet with a tabletop suitable for a TV. Two bedrooms and a full hall bath are located toward the rear of the home, along with a hallway linen closet. The utility room includes a washer, dryer, closet, and additional storage space. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the home and includes an brand new walk-in shower with a vanity, , toilet, and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-16price $249,900 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
Located in the 55+ community of Neshaminy Falls, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner home is a Schult Cedarknoll model, a rare layout known for its room size and storage. The home includes a wider driveway, a covered front porch, and an enclosed porch. The interior has been freshly painted, with new carpeting in most rooms . The living room features a cathedral ceiling and bay window. The formal dining room includes a built-in china cabinet and sliding glass doors leading to the enclosed porch. The eat-in kitchen offers newer appliances, a deep sink with updated faucet, pendant lighting, and a breakfast booth. There is also a bar cabinet with glass shelves and a sink. The family room includes a built-in corner cabinet with a tabletop suitable for a TV. Two bedrooms and a full hall bath are located toward the rear of the home, along with a hallway linen closet. The utility room includes a washer, dryer, closet, and additional storage space. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the home and includes an brand new walk-in shower with a vanity, , toilet, and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-02$255,000 Active 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
Located in the 55+ community of Neshaminy Falls, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner home is a Schult Cedarknoll model, a rare layout known for its room size and storage. The home includes a wider driveway, a covered front porch, and an enclosed porch. The interior has been freshly painted, with new carpeting in most rooms . The living room features a cathedral ceiling and bay window. The formal dining room includes a built-in china cabinet and sliding glass doors leading to the enclosed porch. The eat-in kitchen offers newer appliances, a deep sink with updated faucet, pendant lighting, and a breakfast booth. There is also a bar cabinet with glass shelves and a sink. The family room includes a built-in corner cabinet with a tabletop suitable for a TV. Two bedrooms and a full hall bath are located toward the rear of the home, along with a hallway linen closet. The utility room includes a washer, dryer, closet, and additional storage space. The primary bedroom is situated on the opposite end of the home and includes an brand new walk-in shower with a vanity, , toilet, and walk-in closet.
-
2024-11-01soldstatus $249,900 Closed 1754-char remark
Show marketing remark (1754 chars)
What a remarkable inside transformation this spectacular home in the 55+ Village of Neshaminy Falls has undergone! The huge, 3 bedroom, 2 bath corner home is one of the rare layouts, a Schult—Cedarknoll, that includes all the rooms and storage space most buyers want. From a wider driveway to covered and enclosed porches, this listing checks all the boxes for a high-valued home. From the front covered porch, you and your neighbors can take in the sights of residents moving about in the community. A welcoming foyer is impressive with a simple overhead pendant lamp on beadboard. The home was freshly painted with brand-new carpets in most rooms and subfloors replaced as needed. The spacious living room has a cathedral ceiling and bay window allowing for multiple ways to furnish and decorate the home. The formal dining room with a built-in China cabinet also has sliding glass doors to a roomy enclosed porch for entertaining guests. The eat-in kitchen with newer appliances, a deep sink with an updated faucet, and an overhead pendant light includes a breakfast booth to enjoy morning coffee or chat with friends. Don't miss the bar cabinet with glass shelves and sink! Just around the corner is the family room with a built-in corner cabinet and table top for your TV. Farther back is two bedrooms with a guest bath and hallway linen closet. The Utility room includes a washer and dryer, a closet, and a bonus space for even more storage. On the opposite end of the home is the primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom including the vanity, shower, soaking tub, commode, and walk-in closet. The roof and water heater were replaced in 2022 in addition to some windows. Come see this home on Saturday, October 5th at the Open House from 1-3.
-
2024-10-08status Pending 1754-char remark
Show marketing remark (1754 chars)
What a remarkable inside transformation this spectacular home in the 55+ Village of Neshaminy Falls has undergone! The huge, 3 bedroom, 2 bath corner home is one of the rare layouts, a Schult—Cedarknoll, that includes all the rooms and storage space most buyers want. From a wider driveway to covered and enclosed porches, this listing checks all the boxes for a high-valued home. From the front covered porch, you and your neighbors can take in the sights of residents moving about in the community. A welcoming foyer is impressive with a simple overhead pendant lamp on beadboard. The home was freshly painted with brand-new carpets in most rooms and subfloors replaced as needed. The spacious living room has a cathedral ceiling and bay window allowing for multiple ways to furnish and decorate the home. The formal dining room with a built-in China cabinet also has sliding glass doors to a roomy enclosed porch for entertaining guests. The eat-in kitchen with newer appliances, a deep sink with an updated faucet, and an overhead pendant light includes a breakfast booth to enjoy morning coffee or chat with friends. Don't miss the bar cabinet with glass shelves and sink! Just around the corner is the family room with a built-in corner cabinet and table top for your TV. Farther back is two bedrooms with a guest bath and hallway linen closet. The Utility room includes a washer and dryer, a closet, and a bonus space for even more storage. On the opposite end of the home is the primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom including the vanity, shower, soaking tub, commode, and walk-in closet. The roof and water heater were replaced in 2022 in addition to some windows. Come see this home on Saturday, October 5th at the Open House from 1-3.
-
2024-10-05$249,900 Active 1754-char remark
Show marketing remark (1754 chars)
What a remarkable inside transformation this spectacular home in the 55+ Village of Neshaminy Falls has undergone! The huge, 3 bedroom, 2 bath corner home is one of the rare layouts, a Schult—Cedarknoll, that includes all the rooms and storage space most buyers want. From a wider driveway to covered and enclosed porches, this listing checks all the boxes for a high-valued home. From the front covered porch, you and your neighbors can take in the sights of residents moving about in the community. A welcoming foyer is impressive with a simple overhead pendant lamp on beadboard. The home was freshly painted with brand-new carpets in most rooms and subfloors replaced as needed. The spacious living room has a cathedral ceiling and bay window allowing for multiple ways to furnish and decorate the home. The formal dining room with a built-in China cabinet also has sliding glass doors to a roomy enclosed porch for entertaining guests. The eat-in kitchen with newer appliances, a deep sink with an updated faucet, and an overhead pendant light includes a breakfast booth to enjoy morning coffee or chat with friends. Don't miss the bar cabinet with glass shelves and sink! Just around the corner is the family room with a built-in corner cabinet and table top for your TV. Farther back is two bedrooms with a guest bath and hallway linen closet. The Utility room includes a washer and dryer, a closet, and a bonus space for even more storage. On the opposite end of the home is the primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom including the vanity, shower, soaking tub, commode, and walk-in closet. The roof and water heater were replaced in 2022 in addition to some windows. Come see this home on Saturday, October 5th at the Open House from 1-3.
-
2024-10-01historical $249,900 1754-char remark
Show marketing remark (1754 chars)
What a remarkable inside transformation this spectacular home in the 55+ Village of Neshaminy Falls has undergone! The huge, 3 bedroom, 2 bath corner home is one of the rare layouts, a Schult—Cedarknoll, that includes all the rooms and storage space most buyers want. From a wider driveway to covered and enclosed porches, this listing checks all the boxes for a high-valued home. From the front covered porch, you and your neighbors can take in the sights of residents moving about in the community. A welcoming foyer is impressive with a simple overhead pendant lamp on beadboard. The home was freshly painted with brand-new carpets in most rooms and subfloors replaced as needed. The spacious living room has a cathedral ceiling and bay window allowing for multiple ways to furnish and decorate the home. The formal dining room with a built-in China cabinet also has sliding glass doors to a roomy enclosed porch for entertaining guests. The eat-in kitchen with newer appliances, a deep sink with an updated faucet, and an overhead pendant light includes a breakfast booth to enjoy morning coffee or chat with friends. Don't miss the bar cabinet with glass shelves and sink! Just around the corner is the family room with a built-in corner cabinet and table top for your TV. Farther back is two bedrooms with a guest bath and hallway linen closet. The Utility room includes a washer and dryer, a closet, and a bonus space for even more storage. On the opposite end of the home is the primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom including the vanity, shower, soaking tub, commode, and walk-in closet. The roof and water heater were replaced in 2022 in addition to some windows. Come see this home on Saturday, October 5th at the Open House from 1-3.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,530 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,660 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,130/yr (+$94/mo · 73.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$1,530
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,508
- − Management
- −$2,508
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $3,191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$766
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Penn SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217280
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,866
- Composite
- 51.5/100
- National rank
- #1722
- State rank
- #76 of 539 in PA
Livability — Montgomeryville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #2871
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- City population
- 288
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,755
- Household income
- $118,177
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 459.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Asian 18% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · South Korea, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Korean 5% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.54%
- Current HPI
- 270.3006
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.62%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-4.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-01 Sold (MLS) $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-05 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-01 Coming Soon $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,530 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…