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9210 Homewood Ln
A- Composite 80.77
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

9210 Homewood Ln · Houston, TX 77078
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1955 7,440 sqft lot $95/sqft · 28% below area Est $174k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper for sale. 4 bedrooms with dining and spacious living room. Nice sized fenced back yard. Seems to have good bones come make this one your next flip or rental.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Spacious living room
  • 7,440 sq ft lot

Tags

FENCED BACK YARDSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller disclosure available

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (entry level: First floor)
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot size about 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (First floor, 10x10)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First floor, 17x11); Bedroom (First floor, 14x11); Bedroom (First floor, 11x10); Bedroom (First floor, 10x10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Gas); Central air conditioning (Electric)
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.53%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,675
List price
$125,000
Delta
-28.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9219 Linda Vista Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,335 (+1%) 1mo $210,000 $157 82
9006 Homewood Ln 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,300 (-1%) 14mo $175,000 $135 75
8913 Linda Vista Rd 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-4%) 4mo $175,000 $138 73
8901 Woodlyn Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,228 (-7%) 2mo $155,000 $126 70
9415 Balsam Ln 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,308 (-1%) 8mo $150,000 $115 63
9315 Oak Knoll Ln 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,236 (-6%) 15mo $135,000 $109 61
9314 Laura Koppe Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,399 (+6%) 11mo $166,900 $119 60
9022 Sultan Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,378 (+5%) 11mo $189,000 $137 58
9011 Parkette Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,226 (-7%) 9mo $135,000 $110 56
9306 Woodlyn Rd 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,139 (-13%) 12mo $143,800 $126 54
8837 Richland Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,132 (-14%) 14mo $140,000 $124 43
8546 Talton St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-15%) 10mo $129,900 $116 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$42,461
Equity at exit
$52,699
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$112,327
Equity at exit
$78,589

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77078

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,323/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,035
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $553 -5% $517 +0% $482 +5% $447 +10% $411
Rent -10% $352 -5% $417 +0% $482 +5% $547 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $514 base $482 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9137 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1568 $1,550 $0.99 21d 1 0.05mi
9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 3d 1 0.06mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,200 $1.22 24d 1 0.58mi
9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 987 $1,185 $1.20 44d 1 0.58mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.63mi
8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.63mi
8638 Doris Oaks Cir Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1777 $1,975 $1.11 44d 1 0.63mi
8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.64mi
8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.65mi
9526 Balsam Ln Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1533 $1,475 $0.96 5d 1 0.65mi
8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,850 $1.61 19d 1 0.66mi
8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,850 $1.61 44d 1 0.66mi
9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,107 $1.07 24d 1 0.67mi
8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 44d 1 0.68mi
8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,775 $1.36 44d 1 0.71mi
9393 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1135 $1,244 $1.10 2d 10 0.76mi
9222 Hillis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,850 $1.23 44d 1 0.92mi
9943 Valley Wind Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,595 $1.21 2d 1 0.94mi
9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 784 $989 $1.26 2d 8 0.97mi
8523 Brock Park Blvd Unit 1 Houston, TX 3.0 1.5 1130 $1,375 $1.22 5d 1 1.03mi
7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,436 $1.41 14d 8 1.13mi
9702 Hillis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,550 $0.96 44d 1 1.13mi
9517 Madera Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1608 $1,500 $0.93 44d 1 1.15mi
9218 Nyssa St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,490 $0.93 2d 1 1.20mi
8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $975 $0.99 44d 1 1.20mi
8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $1,000 $1.02 44d 1 1.21mi
9930 Valley Lake Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1385 $1,795 $1.30 44d 1 1.21mi
8238 Homewood Ln Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $1,695 $1.00 24d 1 1.27mi
8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 938 $1,350 $1.44 44d 1 1.30mi
8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,625 $1.25 24d 1 1.35mi
8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 44d 1 1.37mi
8203 Woodlyn Rd Unit C Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,650 $1.00 8d 1 1.38mi
8113 Denton St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 44d 1 1.44mi
8235 Locksley Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,525 $0.95 8d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 169-char remark
  13. 2026-04-29
    listed $125,000 Active 169-char remark
  14. 2011-10-04
    soldstatus
  15. 2010-08-17
    soldstatus
  16. 2007-08-06
    historical
  17. 2007-05-10
    listed $80,000
  18. 2007-04-13
    soldstatus
  19. 2007-04-13
    soldstatus
  20. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,323 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$965/yr (+$80/mo · 72.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,745
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,323
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,580
− Management
−$1,580
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$4,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$960
After-tax cash flow
$4,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,247
Household income
$39,093
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 15% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.50%
Current HPI
307.0842
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-08-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2007-05-10 Listed $80,000 HARMLS
  • 2007-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,323 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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