9210 Homewood Ln · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper for sale. 4 bedrooms with dining and spacious living room. Nice sized fenced back yard. Seems to have good bones come make this one your next flip or rental.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Spacious living room
- 7,440 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (entry level: First floor)
- Construction: Built in 1955; Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot size about 0.17 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (First floor, 10x10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First floor, 17x11); Bedroom (First floor, 14x11); Bedroom (First floor, 11x10); Bedroom (First floor, 10x10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric and Gas); Central air conditioning (Electric)
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.58%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,675
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -28.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9219 Linda Vista Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (+1%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $157 | 82 |
| 9006 Homewood Ln | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-1%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $135 | 75 |
| 8913 Linda Vista Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,266 (-4%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $138 | 73 |
| 8901 Woodlyn Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,228 (-7%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 9415 Balsam Ln | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,308 (-1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 9315 Oak Knoll Ln | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (-6%) | 15mo | $135,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 9314 Laura Koppe Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,399 (+6%) | 11mo | $166,900 | $119 | 60 |
| 9022 Sultan Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (+5%) | 11mo | $189,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 9011 Parkette Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,226 (-7%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $110 | 56 |
| 9306 Woodlyn Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,139 (-13%) | 12mo | $143,800 | $126 | 54 |
| 8837 Richland Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (-14%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $124 | 43 |
| 8546 Talton St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-15%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $116 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $42,561
- Equity at exit
- $52,699
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $112,543
- Equity at exit
- $78,589
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77078
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,647 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,323/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $554 | -5% $519 | +0% $484 | +5% $448 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $419 | +0% $484 | +5% $549 | +10% $614 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $547 | -0.5pp $515 | base $484 | +0.5pp $451 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9137 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1568 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 9110 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,185 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8631 Homewood Ln Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8638 Doris Oaks Cir Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1777 | $1,975 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8627 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8625 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9526 Balsam Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1533 | $1,475 | $0.96 | 6d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8623 Homewood Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8623 Homewood Ln Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 19d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9399 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,107 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8711 Southwark St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8602 Wilkins Oaks Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,775 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 9393 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,264 | $1.20 | 0d | 11 | 0.76mi |
| 9222 Hillis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9943 Valley Wind Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,575 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9700 Mesa Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $989 | $1.26 | 0d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 8523 Brock Park Blvd Unit 1 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $1,375 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9405 Caddo Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,675 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,436 | $1.41 | 14d | 8 | 1.13mi |
| 9702 Hillis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,550 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9517 Madera Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,500 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9218 Nyssa St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,475 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $975 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9930 Valley Lake Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,795 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8238 Homewood Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,625 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8203 Woodlyn Rd Unit C Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8113 Denton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8235 Locksley Rd Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,525 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Pending 169-char remark
-
2026-04-29$125,000 Active 169-char remark
-
2011-10-04soldstatus
-
2010-08-17soldstatus
-
2007-08-06historical
-
2007-05-10$80,000
-
2007-04-13soldstatus
-
2007-04-13soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,323 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$965/yr (+$80/mo · 72.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,323
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,582
- − Management
- −$1,582
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $4,020
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,247
- Household income
- $39,093
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 15% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 41%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Current HPI
- 307.0842
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+56.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
- 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2007-05-10 Listed $80,000 HARMLS
- 2007-04-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-04-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,323 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…