408 Truman St · LaFayette, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remodeled and ready to move right in!! This cozy home has all the boxes checked for a first home or a home to downsize in! New roof, new HVAC unit, newly remodeled bathroom, fresh paint and original hardwood floors round out the amazing features this home offers to it's new owners. A house is not a home without YOU! The extra large lot provides room for the kids or the animals to play. Plant a garden and share with the neighbors. Conveniently located to town, schools and Roper. This is not a flip. .it was lovingly cared for. Eligible for USDA 100% financing. Don't wait. .call to see it in person.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Hardwood flooring
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-space carport; Gravel parking at kitchen level
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Block, brick, and stucco construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built above grade (984 finished area)
- Exterior features: Front covered porch; Porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.1% in LaFayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#345 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Lafayette Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 432 students, 68% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 575 students, 77% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #353 of 424 statewide, top 86%, 1,164 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $74k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.38%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,896
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 Hall St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-12%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $196 | 59 |
| 603 Daugherty St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,006 (+2%) | 14mo | $143,000 | $142 | 52 |
| 409 Daugherty St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,012 (+3%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $30 | 50 |
| 404 Hall St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-15%) | 16mo | $152,000 | $181 | 48 |
| 239 Thurman St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+8%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 909 Thurman St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 20mo | $229,900 | $209 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,845
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $30,125
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30728
- Home prices YoY
- -14.2%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $765/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$104,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $965 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 26.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$765
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $2,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 1305370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,889
- Composite
- 22.74/100
- National rank
- #8035
- State rank
- #114 of 174 in GA
Livability — LaFayette
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #17893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- LaFayette, GA
- County
- Walker County · 48,831 people
- City population
- 18,790
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,790
- Household income
- $55,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 233.0
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,050 people
- By 2030
- 64,305 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 60,127 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 55,551 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 44,886 · -32.0%
- By 2100
- 34,015 · -48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.02%
- Current HPI
- 271.2944
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+70.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $104,900 GCAR
- 2018-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
- 2018-11-09 Sold (MLS) $73,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-09 Sold (MLS) $73,500 GCAR
- 2017-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $765 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…