1829 137th St E #101 · Parkland, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Elevated 55+ living in a prime location! Enjoy easy access through a private community gate and a premium setting right beside the clubhouse and open lawn, giving this home an expansive feel. This beautifully maintained Golden West home features new exterior paint, a new roof, and an energy-efficient heat pump to keep utility costs low year-round. Inside, you’ll find a spacious and inviting layout with a family room and a cozy double-sided fireplace shared with the dining area. The large kitchen offers a flat-top range, dishwasher, skylight, pantry, and a comfortable eat-in space. The primary suite is a true retreat with a walk-in closet and a luxurious 5-piece en suite bath, complete
Key facts
- Flat top range
- New exterior paint
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Calculated living area approximately 1,782 sq ft; Tie-down foundation noted; On-market date: May 7, 2026
- Financial info: Land lease amount: $850; Listing terms: Cash and Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in a manufactured home park with 92 homes; Park amenities include BBQs, clubhouse, common area, exercise room, high-speed internet availability, recreational area, RV parking, and security gate; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Public water (included with monthly space rent); Sewer (included with monthly space rent); Power provided by Elmhurst; Energy sources: Electric and wood
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single level; Oakwood make; Mobile home remains in place
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation
- Exterior features: Wood products siding; Curbs and paved streets
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (electric); Dining room; Entry; Family room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room; Jetted/soaking tub; Skylights; Walk-in closet; Landscaped
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Collins Elementary (462 students, 56% FRL); Franklin Pierce High School (1,141 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.06%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,703
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- 7.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1802 140th St E #178 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (+2%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $149 | 88 |
| 1921 140th St E #196 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,719 (-4%) | 22mo | $200,000 | $116 | 69 |
| 1826 137th St E #118 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,572 (-12%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $143 | 63 |
| 1905 138th Street Ct E #147 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (-13%) | 20mo | $138,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 2010 140th E | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (-12%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $160 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,974
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $50,204
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98445
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14818 36th Ave Ct E #2 Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,545 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 15326 4th Avenue Ct E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $2,750 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 14601 1st Ave S Parkland, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $2,595 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,477
- − Management
- −$2,477
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $4,986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Parkland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #3068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkland, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 36,624
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,684
- Household income
- $92,520
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1085.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Asian 6% Native American 4% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -471.23%
- Current HPI
- 316.202
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $200,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-12.1%/yrLatest (2026): $112 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…