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20 Pine St
B Composite 72.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$69,900

20 Pine St · Miltonvale, KS 67466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 482 Days on market
Built 1900 0.96 ac lot ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Detached sheds
  • Privacy of backyard

Tags

EXPANSIVE LOTDETACHED SHEDSPRIVACY OF BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Concrete road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central Air; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#258 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Southern Cloud (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #257 of 280 in KS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $868 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cloud County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 482 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 482 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
12.10%
Cash-on-cash
20.73%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$15,555
Equity at exit
$16,062
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$46,391
Equity at exit
$16,184

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67466

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,716/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $682
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $358 +0% $338 +5% $318 +10% $298
Rent -10% $250 -5% $294 +0% $338 +5% $382 +10% $426
Rate -1.0pp $373 -0.5pp $356 base $338 +0.5pp $320 +1.0pp $302

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 482 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 481 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 480 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 479 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 477 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 476 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 473 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 472 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 471 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 469 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 467 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 466 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 465 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 464 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 463 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $69,900
  17. 2026-01-13
    price $89,900
  18. 2026-01-12
    status Active
  19. 2025-12-09
    historical
  20. 2025-11-13
    status Active
  21. 2025-10-06
    status Pending
  22. 2025-06-03
    price $99,900
  23. 2024-12-09
    listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,716 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,716 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,317
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,716
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,065
− Management
−$1,065
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$761
After-tax cash flow
$3,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Cloud
NCES district ID
2006510
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,260
Composite
21.9/100
National rank
#13558
State rank
#257 of 280 in KS

Livability — Miltonvale

Score
66/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#11393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miltonvale, KS
Population (ZIP)
665

Population outlook (Cloud County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,922 people
By 2030
8,683 · -2.7%
By 2040
8,241 · -7.6%
By 2050
7,904 · -11.4%
By 2075
7,252 · -18.7%
By 2100
6,474 · -27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cloud

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.9% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.4pp · 2024: -60.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.6 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+42.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.24%
Current HPI
158.2671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-35.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $69,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $89,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-09 Delisted FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-13 Relisted FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-10-06 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $99,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $109,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,716 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…