20 Pine St · Miltonvale, KS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- Detached sheds
- Privacy of backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Concrete road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central Air; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#258 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Southern Cloud (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #257 of 280 in KS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $868 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cloud County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 482 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 482 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.73%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $15,555
- Equity at exit
- $16,062
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $46,391
- Equity at exit
- $16,184
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67466
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,716/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $358 | +0% $338 | +5% $318 | +10% $298 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $250 | -5% $294 | +0% $338 | +5% $382 | +10% $426 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $356 | base $338 | +0.5pp $320 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 473 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $69,900
-
2026-01-13price $89,900
-
2026-01-12status Active
-
2025-12-09historical
-
2025-11-13status Active
-
2025-10-06status Pending
-
2025-06-03price $99,900
-
2024-12-09$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,716 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,716 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,716
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,065
- − Management
- −$1,065
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$761
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Cloud
- NCES district ID
- 2006510
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,260
- Composite
- 21.9/100
- National rank
- #13558
- State rank
- #257 of 280 in KS
Livability — Miltonvale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #11393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miltonvale, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 665
Population outlook (Cloud County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,922 people
- By 2030
- 8,683 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 8,241 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 7,904 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 7,252 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 6,474 · -27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cloud
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.9% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.4pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+42.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.24%
- Current HPI
- 158.2671
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-35.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $69,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $89,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-12-09 Delisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-13 Relisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-10-06 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $99,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-12-09 Listed $109,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,716 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…