18605 Orleans St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.49%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly renovated 3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Home. Detached Garage and Basement for extra storage! Home is tenant occupied, please do not walk property without an appointment.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1944
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single-family; Directions: South of 7 Mile and east of Walter; Cross street: 7 Mile and Walter; Subdivision: Cadillac Heights
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Brick exterior; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 120 (0.11 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $110k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.17%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17888 Marx St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 937 (+1%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $36 | 81 |
| 19164 Dequindre St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 918 (-1%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $87 | 74 |
| 18128 Fleming St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (+2%) | 1mo | $21,500 | $23 | 73 |
| 18877 Fleming St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-6%) | 3mo | $9,900 | $11 | 67 |
| 18134 Dequindre St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 993 (+7%) | 8mo | $109,999 | $111 | 67 |
| 709 E Margaret St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 913 (-2%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $16 | 64 |
| 18042 Russell St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 851 (-8%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $53 | 63 |
| 17439 Lumpkin St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 917 (-1%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $76 | 61 |
| 17569 Orleans St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (+8%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $85 | 60 |
| 18547 Anglin St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 6mo | $93,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 19666 Dequindre St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (+7%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 19403 Anglin St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 7mo | $22,500 | $23 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,647
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,649
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,845/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $5,301 | $5.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Newly renovated 3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Home. Detached Garage and Basement for extra storage! Home is tenant occupied, please do not walk property without an appointment.
-
2026-06-08$109,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Newly renovated 3 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Home. Detached Garage and Basement for extra storage! Home is tenant occupied, please do not walk property without an appointment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,845 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,845 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 49% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,845
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,236
- − Management
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$56
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+399.5% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-27 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-26 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $47,250 Public Records
- 2016-04-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-16 Listed $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-15 Price Changed $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-15 Price Changed $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-14 Price Changed $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-14 Price Changed $2,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-18 Price Changed $5,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-17 Price Changed $5,800 REALCOMP
- 2016-02-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-02-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-01-13 Price Changed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-12 Price Changed $6,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-09 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-09 Listed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-06-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-01 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-09-26 Listed $12,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-09-26 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $18,200 Public Records
- 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,845 · +80.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…