3304 Lake Overlook Pl · Seminole Manor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (number and size limits; contact for details)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $1,000 fee; Association fee includes grounds maintenance; Clubhouse; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Resale
- Exterior features: Community pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.88%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $30,396
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 65.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.59×
- Total profit
- $82,875
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33462
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$1,000
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $554 | -5% $540 | +0% $527 | +5% $513 | +10% $500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $347 | -5% $437 | +0% $527 | +5% $617 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $546 | -0.5pp $537 | base $527 | +0.5pp $517 | +1.0pp $506 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $2,150 | $2.54 | 6d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $1,975 | $2.49 | 15d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $2,307 | $2.83 | 0d | 16 | 0.57mi |
| 423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2780 Norfolk Pine Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5981 Via Vermilya #203 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,975 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,799 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,400 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1707 Meadows Cir W Unit W Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,650 | $2.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,980 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,995 | $2.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1617 Meadows Cir W Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 88 Buxton Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $3,100 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $2,704 | $2.64 | 0d | 17 | 1.18mi |
| 64 Paxford Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $3,800 | $2.56 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 58 Paxford Ln Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $900 | $0.73 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5 Heather Trace Dr Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $3,100 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4938 Serafica Dr Unit 14 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,861 | $2.06 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $2,357 | $2.17 | 0d | 15 | 1.40mi |
| 3195 Mcsherry Dr Unit 3195 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 17d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3901 Medford Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1374 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3901 Medford Ct Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1374 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6 Hammond Pl Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $3,160 | $2.24 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4833 Serafica Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,900 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4833 Serafica Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4800 Serafica Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,749 | $1.91 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4800 Serafica Dr Unit 4794 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,749 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,000 · $12,000/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $39,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $45,000
-
2026-03-23$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,183
- − Management
- −$2,183
- − HOA
- −$12,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $6,820
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home is in average condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. A fresh coat of paint, HVAC cleaning, and landscaping can significantly improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Interior walls and paint appear worn.
- Minor HVAC unit — HVAC unit appears functional but may need cleaning or minor maintenance.
- Minor Landscaping — Landscaping is maintained but not landscaped.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both Clean and service HVAC unit — A clean and serviced HVAC unit can improve comfort and energy efficiency.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can improve curb appeal and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Interior walls and paint appear worn. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC unit · HVAC unit appears functional but may need cleaning or minor maintenance. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Landscaping is maintained but not landscaped. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Clean and service HVAC unit — A clean and serviced HVAC unit can improve comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior can improve curb appeal and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Seminole Manor
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #15076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,371
- Household income
- $73,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.48%
- Current HPI
- 361.5391
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-23.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $45,000 MCRTC
- 2026-03-23 Listed $59,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…