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657 Marie Ave
C+ Composite 63.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$123,200

657 Marie Ave · Level Park-Oak Park, MI 49037
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 966 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1940 0.40 ac lot $128/sqft · 18% above area Est $174k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sweet Cape Cod on large lot 17,424 sf lot! Spacious 1 car attached garage with separate entry. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and lots of windows. Past updating. May need some repairs. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * List price is $123,200. Right of Redemption active until 7/7/2026.

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $852 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,416 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.39%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,318
List price
$123,200
Delta
-29.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
235 Oak St 0.25mi 3/1.0 954 (-1%) 5mo $169,000 $177 82
338 Cross St 0.25mi 3/1.0 992 (+3%) 6mo $145,000 $146 78
233 Oak St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 994 (+3%) 2mo $148,000 $149 77
124 Bansill Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 964 (-0%) 2mo $150,000 $156 68
52 N Mason Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 925 (-4%) 13mo $135,900 $147 53
88 N Cedar Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 864 (-11%) 10mo $126,000 $146 48
2901 Michigan Ave W 0.59mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,053 (+9%) 6mo $148,000 $141 47
247 N Woodlawn Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 864 (-11%) 12mo $165,000 $191 45
33 N Mason Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 864 (-11%) 8mo $160,000 $185 44
135 Tulip Tree Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-7%) 10mo $137,500 $153 43
53 N Mason Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+9%) 11mo $148,720 $141 42
182 Broadway Blvd 0.72mi 3/1.0 864 (-11%) 10mo $160,000 $185 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,153
Equity at exit
$18,370
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$52,430
Equity at exit
$10,652

Cash invested: $34,496 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49037

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,284 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$646
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $914/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $123,200
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,800
Closing costs
$3,696
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
55 Stringham Rd Battle Creek, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,075 $1.26 13d 7 1.04mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $123,200 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $123,200 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $123,200 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $123,200 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $123,200 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $123,200 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $123,200 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $123,200 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $123,200 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $123,200 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $123,200 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $123,200 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $123,200 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $123,200 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $123,200 Active 137 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $123,200 Active 136 DOM
  17. 2026-01-14
    listed $123,200 Active 720-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    Sweet Cape Cod on large lot 17,424 sf lot! Spacious 1 car attached garage with separate entry. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and lots of windows. Past updating. May need some repairs. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * List price is $123,200. Right of Redemption active until 7/7/2026.

  18. 2026-01-14
    listed $123,200 Active 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    Sweet Cape Cod on large lot 17,424 sf lot! Spacious 1 car attached garage with separate entry. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and lots of windows. Past updating. May need some repairs. Reserve Auction – NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property. "As is" sale with no contingencies or inspections. Seller cannot guarantee occupancy. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * List price is $123,200. Right of Redemption active until 7/7/2026.

  19. 2021-11-23
    soldstatus $150,000
  20. 2021-11-10
    historical
  21. 2021-11-09
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold
  22. 2021-11-09
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold
  23. 2021-09-23
    price $150,000
  24. 2021-09-23
    status Pending
  25. 2021-09-23
    status Pending
  26. 2021-09-23
    price $150,000
  27. 2021-09-20
    listed $125,000 Active
  28. 2021-09-20
    listed $125,000 Active
  29. 2021-09-20
    listed $150,000
  30. 2010-12-01
    soldstatus $55,400
  31. 2010-07-29
    soldstatus $54,000
  32. 2010-07-12
    soldstatus $54,000
  33. 2010-07-12
    soldstatus $54,000
  34. 2010-06-19
    listed $59,900
  35. 2010-06-19
    listed $59,900
  36. 2010-03-29
    soldstatus $18,500
  37. 2010-03-29
    soldstatus $18,500
  38. 2010-02-27
    listed $22,900
  39. 2010-02-27
    listed $22,900
  40. 2006-09-26
    soldstatus $89,000
  41. 2001-10-01
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$914 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$492/yr (+$41/mo · 53.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,414
− Mortgage interest
−$6,901
− Property taxes
−$914
− Insurance
−$616
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,233
− Management
−$1,233
− Depreciation
−$3,584
Taxable income
$932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$224
After-tax cash flow
$2,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Battle Creek Public Schools
NCES district ID
2600005
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$31,697
Composite
10.73/100
National rank
#9769
State rank
#510 of 540 in MI

Livability — Level Park-Oak Park

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Level Park-Oak Park, MI
County
Calhoun County · 91,590 people
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,550
Household income
$42,690
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
717.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.62%
Current HPI
273.2446
Rent YoY
▲ 11.76%
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.7% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $123,200 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $123,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-10 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-11-09 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-11-09 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-23 Price Changed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-09-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-23 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-09-23 Price Changed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-20 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-20 Listed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-09-20 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,400 Public Records
  • 2010-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2010-07-12 Sold (MLS) $54,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-07-12 Sold (MLS) $54,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-06-19 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-19 Listed $59,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-03-29 Sold (MLS) $18,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-29 Sold (MLS) $18,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-02-27 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-02-27 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $914 · -45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…