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175 Mill Pond Rd #346
D- Composite 38.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

175 Mill Pond Rd #346 · Hamden, CT 06514
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 977 sqft · Condo public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1985 $495/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Refreshly painted wall to wall. Move-in ready and well-maintained! This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condo offers a bright, open-concept living and dining area with private deck access-perfect for relaxing. Storage & Parking: Enjoy generous closet space throughout, plus a covered carport and an additional assigned parking spot. Convenience: Monthly fees include hot/cold water and access to the community in-ground pool. Prime Location: Minutes from Yale, Quinnipiac U, Hamden Hall Country Day School, major highways, shopping, and local amenities. Property taxes reflect the full post-revaluation tax; however, the Town of Hamden is currently implementing a 4-year phase-in, offering the occupant a

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Private deck access
  • Open-concept living

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGPRIVATE DECK ACCESSGENEROUS CLOSET SPACECOVERED CARPORTASSIGNED PARKING SPOTCOMMUNITY IN-GROUND POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed (small dogs under 20 inches)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee: $495 monthly; HOA covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, hot water, water, sewer, property management, and pool service; Complex contains 108 total units

Exterior

  • Parking: Under-house garage with 1 assigned garage space; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Hot water: Other
  • Home design: Condominium in a multi-unit complex (Mill Pond Village); Condo/Co-op for sale
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Level lot; In-ground swimming pool (community)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Oven/range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating and cooling; Electric heat fuel
  • Interior features: Three-level unit; Total of 4 rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Common coin-operated laundry area; Heat pump provides heating and cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (11.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hamden Middle School (math 27% / reading 43%, grade F, #123 of 175 statewide, top 70%, 811 students, 40% FRL); Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $185k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,284 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.72%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-33,561
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-22,429
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06514

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$268 /mo · $3,213/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$495
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$-117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,291
Max offer price $164,284
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-13 -5% $-65 +0% $-117 +5% $-170 +10% $-222
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-202 +0% $-117 +5% $-33 +10% $52
Rate -1.0pp $-24 -0.5pp $-70 base $-117 +0.5pp $-165 +1.0pp $-214

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
175 Mill Pond Rd #102 Hamden, CT 2.0 1.5 900 $1,900 $2.11 5d 1 0.04mi
175 Mill Pond Rd #324 Hamden, CT 2.0 1.5 977 $1,900 $1.94 21d 1 0.04mi
100 Town Walk Dr Hamden, CT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $2,464 $2.32 4d 36 0.21mi
1800 Aspen Glen Dr Hamden, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 997 $2,705 $2.71 4d 5 0.40mi
69 Rentell Rd Hamden, CT 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,900 $2.88 4d 1 0.45mi
2 Skiff St Hamden, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0 928 $2,045 $2.20 4d 3 0.75mi
925 Mix Ave Hamden, CT 2.0 1.0–1.5 830 $3,025 $3.64 4d 3 0.75mi
905 Mix Ave Hamden, CT 1.0 1.0 836 $1,850 $2.21 46d 4 0.82mi
2405 Whitney Ave Hamden, CT 2.0 1.5 930 $2,225 $2.39 46d 1 0.82mi
165 Towne House Rd Unit 165 Hamden, CT 1.0 1.0 631 $1,650 $2.61 45d 1 0.86mi
865 Mix Ave Hamden, CT 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $2,645 $2.57 4d 5 0.88mi
835 E Mix Ave Unit 6413 Hamden, CT 1.0 1.0 850 $1,900 $2.24 45d 1 0.94mi
75 Washington Ave Hamden, CT 1.0 1.0 677 $1,600 $2.36 4d 2 1.04mi
75 Washington Ave Unit 2-317 Hamden, CT 2.0 2.0 992 $1,950 $1.97 45d 1 1.04mi
720 Mix Ave #303 Hamden, CT 2.0 2.0 956 $2,200 $2.30 4d 1 1.11mi
676 Mix Ave Hamden, CT 2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $2,200 $2.72 4d 1 1.28mi
1 Kaye Plz Hamden, CT 1.0 1.0 660 $1,750 $2.65 4d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$495 · $5,940/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolparking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-23
    price $185,000
  19. 2026-04-20
    historical
  20. 2026-03-26
    listed $188,000 Active
  21. 2016-12-16
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,213 · $268/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Expected delta
+$373/yr (+$31/mo · 11.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,712
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$3,213
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,057
− Management
−$2,057
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$4,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$-393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamden School District
NCES district ID
0901860
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,821
Composite
33.34/100
National rank
#5490
State rank
#106 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hamden

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
61,150
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
26,803
Household income
$88,900
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1228.0

Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
608,362

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
All cycles
2024: D+20.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.59%
Current HPI
251.556
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $185,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $188,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,213 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…