523 Partridge Dr · Poinciana, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$229,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
Key facts
- Screened patio
- Pantry
- Dinette area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area about 1,942 square feet
- Financial info: Monthly HOA $100; Annual HOA $1,200; No lease restrictions noted
- HOA & community: Poinciana Villages HOA with $100 monthly fee; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south; Planned unit development (PUD)
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.18-acre lot
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (10.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.3% in Poinciana — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Laurel Elementary School (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,058 students, 50% FRL); Haines City Senior High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,700 students, 58% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1151 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $155k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.57%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.48% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-34,569
- Equity at exit
- $50,174
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-41,873
- Equity at exit
- $48,353
Cash invested: $64,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34759
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1151
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,025 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,204
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,061/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $-138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-8 | -5% $-73 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-203 | +10% $-268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-298 | -5% $-218 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-58 | +10% $22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-22 | -0.5pp $-79 | base $-138 | +0.5pp $-197 | +1.0pp $-258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,375
- Closing costs
- $6,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 568 Kingfisher Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 435 Magpie Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,725 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 567 Hummingbird Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2113 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 606 Robin Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,750 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 606 Robin Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,750 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 568 Finch Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 539 Finch Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $1,749 | $0.94 | 11d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 539 Finch Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $1,749 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1405 Teal Ct Poinciana, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 701 Pelican Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $1,785 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 442 Flamingo Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 723 Parrot Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 557 Eagle Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1672 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 445 Eagle Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,839 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 754 Pelican Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 747 Pelican Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2113 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1431 Teal Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2215 | $2,445 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 601 Dunlin Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,064 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 510 Eagle Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 426 Eagle Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,995 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 535 Cardinal Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $1,774 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 702 Bluebill Pl Unit A Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 514 Blackbird Ln Unit B Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 627 Bluebill Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,760 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 517 Blackbird Ln Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,530 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 639 Bittern Ct Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $1,730 | $0.94 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 411 Blackbird Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 439 Albatross Ct Unit B Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 721 Bittern Ln Unit A Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 504 Albatross Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 504 Albatross Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 662 Yak Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,675 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 627 Yak Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 780 Platypus Ct Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 726 Bobcat Ct Unit B Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 756 Camel Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 796 Squirrel Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,675 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 796 Squirrel Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,675 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 603 Muskrat Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 634 Kangaroo Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,990 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,500 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,500 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,500 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,500 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,500 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,500 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,500 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,500 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,500 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $229,500
-
2026-02-01status Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-12-07status Active
-
2025-09-11$246,500 Active
-
2024-06-30historical
-
2024-04-05price $300,000
-
2024-04-05status Active
-
2024-03-31historical
-
2024-03-27status Active
-
2024-02-24status Pending
-
2023-12-21$375,000 Active
-
2016-08-29soldstatus $155,000 Sold 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2016-08-26soldstatus $155,000
-
2016-08-15status Pending 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2016-07-19historical Active with Contract 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2016-07-11status Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2016-05-29historical Active with Contract 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2016-05-19$159,900 Active 863-char remark
Show marketing remark (863 chars)
BACK ON THE MARKET. BUYER FINANCING FELL THROUGH. Absolutely the nicest home in Poinciana. This home is in perfect condition, just move right. This home is on the most desirable street in the area, on two dead end streets backing up to preserve areas so there is no through traffic. When you walk through the double front door to the foyer you can tell that this home is going to be perfect for the next party. The great room is large and open to the kitchen , with room for everyone to spend time together. If you work at home the den/office can be used as a home office or extra bedroom. The split bedrooms make it private for everyone. The nice size screened porch is perfect to enjoy morning coffee. The large master will fit even large furniture. The garden tub and large master bath feels like you are at the spa. Don't miss this one it won't last the week.
-
2010-03-23soldstatus $62,500
-
2010-02-19$61,380
-
2004-05-24soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,061 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,061 · $338/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,856
- − Property taxes
- −$4,061
- − Insurance
- −$1,148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,944
- − Management
- −$1,944
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$6,676
- Taxable loss
- −$5,529
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,327
- After-tax cash flow
- $-327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Poinciana
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #859
- US rank
- #21760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poinciana, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 91,336
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,568
- Household income
- $69,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 21% Two or more races 20% Black 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 38% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.48%
- Current HPI
- 276.6861
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+91.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $229,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-11 Listed $246,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-05 Price Changed $300,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-21 Listed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-29 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-19 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-11 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-29 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-19 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-23 Sold (MLS) $62,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-19 Listed $61,380 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,061 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…