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616 N Pine St
B- Composite 66.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$165,000

616 N Pine St · Roseboro, NC 28382
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily · 197 Days on market
Built 1979 ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This refreshed 3-bedroom Roseboro home will make a great first starter home. Sitting on over half an acre, this property has been completely revitalized inside and out. Updated Cabinets & New Flooring Throughout Walls touched up & Modern Lighting installed Deep Cleaned & Move-In Ready Sold AS-IS, no HOA, Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Roseboro and nearby schools, shopping, and dining.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Spacious lot
  • Conveniently located

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTUPDATED LIGHT FIXTURESLAMINATE FLOORINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Brick construction; Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Porch; Composition roof; Has a view; Paved road frontage; Roads: City street and state road; Lot dimensions approximately 249 x 138 x 132 x 47 x 24; Zoned R-15

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Sampson County Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roseboro Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 387 students, 99% FRL); Roseboro-Salemburg Middle (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Lakewood High (math 72% / reading 42%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 479 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Sampson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
  • Sampson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.63%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$92,027
Equity at exit
$128,393
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$251,489
Equity at exit
$257,814

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28382

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,864 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 197 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 196 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 195 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 194 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 192 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 186 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 180 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 179 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $169,000
  18. 2026-01-23
    price $170,000
  19. 2025-12-18
    price $175,000
  20. 2025-12-03
    listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,370
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,790
− Management
−$1,790
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$1,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$348
After-tax cash flow
$3,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sampson County Schools
NCES district ID
3704140
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,391
Composite
33.71/100
National rank
#5379
State rank
#114 of 178 in NC

Livability — Roseboro

Score
62/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#16397

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseboro, NC
Population (ZIP)
6,659

Population outlook (Sampson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,499 people
By 2030
62,970 · -0.8%
By 2040
61,609 · -3.0%
By 2050
60,462 · -4.8%
By 2075
60,108 · -5.3%
By 2100
62,120 · -2.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sampson

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.8% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+16.7 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.27%
Current HPI
288.151
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $169,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $170,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $175,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $180,000 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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