841 San Mateo · Hemet, CA 92543

$149,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 155 Days on market

Built 1968 3,049 sqft lot $138/sqft · 8% above area Est $138k · 8% over $185/mo HOA · 10% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.1/30.0
• DSCR +8.8/10.0
• 1% rule +7.4/10.0
• ARV discount +3.9/15.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Livability +2.6/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your dream retreat! Nestled within a friendly and active 55+ community, this delightful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and camaraderie. Whether you're looking to downsize, seeking a peaceful getaway, or simply ready to embrace a vibrant lifestyle, this home has it all! For those who prefer a furnished option, this home can include some furniture, allowing for a hassle-free transition. Move in and start enjoying your new lifestyle with everything you need already in place.

Key facts

• 3,049 sq ft lot
• Community pool
• Built 1968

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
• Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $25k; list at $149k implies a 496% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.75%
• DSCR: 1.48
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $138,000
• List price: $149,000
• Delta: 7.97%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
190 Santa Lucia	0.06mi	2/2.0	1,040 (-4%)	4mo	$179,000	$172	88
360 Santa Clara Cir	0.17mi	2/2.0	1,120 (+4%)	3mo	$224,000	$200	83
711 San Mateo Cir	0.10mi	2/1.5	1,140 (+6%)	4mo	$93,500	$82	81
431 San Mateo Cir	0.16mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,040 (-4%)	3mo	$118,000	$113	79
770 S Lyon	0.20mi	2/2.0	1,152 (+7%)	3mo	$78,900	$68	77
220 San Carlos Dr	0.18mi	2/1.0	1,020 (-6%)	2mo	$127,000	$125	77
1167 Via Del Mesa	0.30mi	2/2.0	1,152 (+7%)	1mo	$135,000	$117	74
1111 W Johnston Ave	0.19mi	2/2.0	1,200 (+11%)	0mo	$135,000	$113	72
995 Santa Teresa Way	0.38mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,056 (-2%)	3mo	$185,000	$175	71
1083 Via Del Mesa	0.33mi	2/2.0	1,200 (+11%)	3mo	$149,900	$125	64
460 San Mateo Cir	0.19mi	2/1.0	940 (-13%)	3mo	$85,000	$90	63
575 S Lyon #110	0.38mi	2/2.0	940 (-13%)	2mo	$52,500	$56	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.94×
• Total profit: $-2,542
• Equity at exit: $22,216

10-year hold

• IRR: 6.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.47×
• Total profit: $19,606
• Equity at exit: $12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92543

• Home prices YoY: -26.7%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 264
• Price-to-rent: 6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,841 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax from tax record: −$52 /mo · $626/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$185
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1197	$1,600	$1.34	43d	1	0.04mi
101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1152	$1,725	$1.50	16d	1	0.07mi
1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1197	$2,000	$1.67	43d	1	0.21mi
750 Santa Clara Cir Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	800	$1,400	$1.75	14d	1	0.27mi
893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	720	$1,375	$1.91	4d	1	0.32mi
611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1254	$1,895	$1.51	7d	1	0.37mi
876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1127	$2,150	$1.91	24d	1	0.39mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1044	$1,750	$1.68	43d	1	0.42mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1085	$1,800	$1.66	5d	1	0.49mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1170	$1,561	$1.33	43d	1	0.51mi
1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	890	$2,320	$2.61	1d	8	0.56mi
1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA	2.0	1.5	975	$1,825	$1.87	24d	2	0.57mi
735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1202	$2,400	$2.00	43d	1	0.58mi
471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	900	$1,750	$1.94	43d	1	0.59mi
1955 Silver Oak Way Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1318	$2,250	$1.71	43d	1	0.67mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1150	$2,448	$2.13	24d	1	0.69mi
716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,300	$1.59	5d	1	0.70mi
363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,900	$1.58	3d	1	0.80mi
363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,900	$1.58	13d	1	0.80mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	895	$2,035	$2.27	1d	1	0.82mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	910	$1,995	$2.19	7d	1	0.90mi
1711 Pepper Tree Dr Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	864	$1,675	$1.94	21d	1	0.90mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	910	$1,750	$1.92	24d	1	0.91mi
853 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1148	$1,850	$1.61	3d	1	0.99mi
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA	3.0	2.5	1340	$2,550	$1.90	43d	1	1.01mi
860 Douglas Ct Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1114	$1,850	$1.66	18d	1	1.03mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA	1.0	1.0	768	$1,525	$1.99	21d	1	1.04mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA	1.0	1.0	768	$1,450	$1.89	5d	1	1.04mi
390 Magnolia Cir Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1038	$2,400	$2.31	3d	1	1.07mi
1354 Jasmine Way Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1440	$1,650	$1.15	43d	1	1.10mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	900	$1,625	$1.81	13d	1	1.12mi
576 Montecito Ave Unit C Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	861	$1,850	$2.15	16d	1	1.13mi
409 E Thornton Ave Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	970	$1,912	$1.97	2d	2	1.18mi
678 Monterey Pl Hemet, CA	2.0	2.0	1047	$1,995	$1.91	43d	1	1.21mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	892	$1,895	$2.12	1d	10	1.22mi
700 Johnston Ave Unit 708 Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,600	$1.60	7d	1	1.22mi
640 Vista del Monte Hemet, CA	3.0	2.0	1480	$2,650	$1.79	43d	1	1.24mi
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	827	$1,395	$1.69	43d	1	1.29mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	900	$1,800	$2.00	43d	1	1.32mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA	2.0	1.0	827	$1,545	$1.87	24d	1	1.35mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $185 · $2,220/yr

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $149,000 Active 155 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $149,000 Active 154 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $149,000 Active 153 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $149,000 Active 152 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $149,000 Active 150 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $149,000 Active 146 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $149,000 Active 145 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $149,000 Active 144 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $149,000 Active 141 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 140 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 139 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 138 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 137 DOM
14. 2026-04-16
    price $149,000 534-char remark

    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Welcome to your dream retreat! Nestled within a friendly and active 55+ community, this delightful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and camaraderie. Whether you're looking to downsize, seeking a peaceful getaway, or simply ready to embrace a vibrant lifestyle, this home has it all! For those who prefer a furnished option, this home can include some furniture, allowing for a hassle-free transition. Move in and start enjoying your new lifestyle with everything you need already in place.

15. 2026-03-20
    price $160,000 534-char remark

    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Welcome to your dream retreat! Nestled within a friendly and active 55+ community, this delightful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and camaraderie. Whether you're looking to downsize, seeking a peaceful getaway, or simply ready to embrace a vibrant lifestyle, this home has it all! For those who prefer a furnished option, this home can include some furniture, allowing for a hassle-free transition. Move in and start enjoying your new lifestyle with everything you need already in place.

16. 2026-01-14
    listed $165,000 Active 534-char remark

    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Welcome to your dream retreat! Nestled within a friendly and active 55+ community, this delightful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and camaraderie. Whether you're looking to downsize, seeking a peaceful getaway, or simply ready to embrace a vibrant lifestyle, this home has it all! For those who prefer a furnished option, this home can include some furniture, allowing for a hassle-free transition. Move in and start enjoying your new lifestyle with everything you need already in place.

17. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $626 · $52/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,132 · $94/mo
• Expected delta: +$507/yr (+$42/mo · 81.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,093
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$626
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,767
• − Management: −$1,767
• − HOA: −$2,220
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable income: $2,287
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$549
• After-tax cash flow: $3,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hemet Unified
• NCES district ID: 0616920
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $39,962
• Composite: 25.16/100
• National rank: #7517
• State rank: #360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

• Score: 51/100
• State rank: #1056
• US rank: #25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hemet, CA
• County: Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
• City population: 137,670
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• Population (ZIP): 39,937
• Household income: $49,396
• Rent vs Own: 42.8% rent · 57.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,664,475 people
• By 2030: 2,802,692 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 3,050,904 · +14.5%
• By 2050: 3,256,783 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 3,655,058 · +37.2%
• By 2100: 3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada
• Languages at home: 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -147.46%
• Current HPI: 405.1277
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.76%
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+496.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Price Changed $149,000 CRMLS
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $160,000 CRMLS
• 2026-01-14 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
• 2000-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $626 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.