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1883 N Arizona Dr
B Composite 71.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,900

1883 N Arizona Dr · Pocatello, ID 83202
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 0 sqft · Manufactured public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1993 ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Terrific 1993 Champion Sequoia (14'X70'') manufactured home that is in immaculate shape. This home was primarily used for storage, not residence. All appears brand new. 2 Bedrooms and 2 full baths. Nice size kitchen, large living room and 2 good size bedrooms. Appliances: Range Fridge & Dishwasher have been hardly used - so like new. FA Elec. furnace and 2022 elec. W/ H. Newer architectural roof - 11/2017. Exterior wood siding painted summer 2025. Double vinyl windows. Blinds/Curtains Included. Washer and Dryer included. Has ceiling fan in LR. Owner installed full chain link fence. Has Lg. Carport and shed. Lot is larger than most in mobile home park. Has manicure lawn and pine tree.

Key facts

  • Built 1993
  • Listed 113 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is rented

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (manufactured without land); Residential property; Subdivision: High Country
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Built by Champion Sequoia; 980 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Fenced yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
  • Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Tyhee Elementary School (math 48% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 357 statewide, top 48%, 557 students, 38% FRL); Hawthorne Middle School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade D, #52 of 109 statewide, top 51%, 674 students, 48% FRL); Highland High School (math 45% / reading 57%, grade D+, #38 of 169 statewide, top 22%, 1,589 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,969 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.69%
Cash-on-cash
33.57%
DSCR
2.49
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4200 Philbin Rd #96 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,560 6mo $114,900 $74 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$22,337
Equity at exit
$9,826
10-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$62,358
Equity at exit
$5,698

Cash invested: $18,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83202

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
212
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,147 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $206/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $494
Max offer price $65,900
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,475
Closing costs
$1,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,900 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,900 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,900 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,900 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,900 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,900 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,900 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,900 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 695-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,900 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,900 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,900 Active 95 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,900 Active 94 DOM
  18. 2026-05-20
    price $65,900
  19. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  20. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  21. 2026-03-30
    price $69,900
  22. 2026-03-13
    price $75,000
  23. 2026-02-13
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$206 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$455 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$249/yr (+$21/mo · 120.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,768
− Mortgage interest
−$3,691
− Property taxes
−$206
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,101
− Management
−$1,101
− Depreciation
−$1,917
Taxable income
$5,421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,301
After-tax cash flow
$4,893/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocatello District
NCES district ID
1602640
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,478
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3003
State rank
#26 of 92 in ID

Livability — Pocatello

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#758

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocatello, ID
County
Bannock County · 82,995 people
City population
58,482
Metro
Pocatello, ID
Population (ZIP)
24,513
Household income
$70,423
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
510.0

Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,173 people
By 2030
86,575 · +0.5%
By 2040
86,235 · +0.1%
By 2050
86,090 · -0.1%
By 2075
85,032 · -1.3%
By 2100
85,103 · -1.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Bannock

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.31%
Current HPI
229.4622
Rent YoY
▲ 3.14%
Metro
Pocatello, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $65,900 PCTMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted PCTMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Pending PCTMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $69,900 PCTMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $75,000 PCTMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $80,000 PCTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…