501 Gables Dr · Hoover, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice entry level condo in Hoover Alabama
Key facts
- Built 1987
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $122k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.4% in Hoover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in AL, #630 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+.
- Hoover City (urban): math 45% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #8 of 129 in AL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.27%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-34,413
- Equity at exit
- $18,191
- IRR
- -67.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.68×
- Total profit
- $-57,231
- Equity at exit
- $10,548
Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35244
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,181 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$640
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$152 /mo · $1,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$268
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $-178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,500
- Closing costs
- $3,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1303 Gables Dr #1303 Hoover, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,450 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1000 Riverchase Trl Hoover, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $1,163 | $1.23 | 1d | 23 | 0.31mi |
| 700 Garden Woods Dr Hoover, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $1,230 | $1.16 | 1d | 22 | 0.36mi |
| 200 River Haven Ln Hoover, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1485 | $1,137 | $0.77 | 1d | 32 | 1.13mi |
| 3 Indianwood Dr Pelham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,125 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4 Indianwood Dr Pelham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,010 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11 Indianwood Dr Pelham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $975 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 31 Indianwood Dr Pelham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $975 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5775 Summer Pl Pkwy Hoover, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1133 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 1d | 18 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $122,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $122,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $122,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $122,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $122,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $122,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $122,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $122,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $122,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$122,000 Active 40-char remark
-
2026-02-11historical $1,100
-
2025-08-21$1,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,834
- − Property taxes
- −$1,830
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − HOA
- −$3,216
- − Depreciation
- −$3,549
- Taxable loss
- −$4,139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$993
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, exterior siding repair, flooring replacement, HVAC system upgrade, and landscaping improvements. Significant investment is needed to bring the property up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of potential leaks and wear.
- Major exterior siding — Visible cracks and discoloration.
- Major flooring — Significant wear and tear.
- Major interior walls/paint — Peeling paint and discoloration.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible signs of recent maintenance or updates.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale exterior siding repair and painting — A fresh coat of paint and repairs to the siding would enhance curb appeal.
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both HVAC system upgrade — An updated HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.
- Resale landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior would enhance the home's curb appeal and value.
- Resale interior painting and repairs — Fresh paint and repairs to interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of potential leaks and wear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Visible cracks and discoloration. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Significant wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · Peeling paint and discoloration. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible signs of recent maintenance or updates. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale exterior siding repair and painting — A fresh coat of paint and repairs to the siding would enhance curb appeal. ↑
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both HVAC system upgrade — An updated HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior would enhance the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale interior painting and repairs — Fresh paint and repairs to interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoover City
- NCES district ID
- 0100007
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,210
- Composite
- 49.77/100
- National rank
- #1960
- State rank
- #8 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hoover
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #630
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoover, AL
- County
- Shelby County · 188,970 people
- City population
- 76,805
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,217
- Household income
- $113,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 822.0
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.31%
- Current HPI
- 195.0557
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+10990.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $122,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-02-11 Rental Removed $1,100 REDFIN
- 2025-08-21 Listed for Rent $1,100 REDFIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…