1920 2nd Ave SE · Austin, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom ranch within walking distance to schools. Steel siding, some newer windows, central air and single garage.
Key facts
- Newer decor
- Steel siding
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Conventional financing indicated; Other annual assessment: $68
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete driveway/parking; 1-car garage (14 x 20)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected (in street); Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One level; Above- and below-grade living areas (lower level finished)
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Roof replaced within past 8 years
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Light tree coverage on the lot; City street frontage; public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: Main floor full bathroom; Basement 3/4 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement with block foundation; Kitchen/Dining combination; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer; Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-183/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#77 in MN, #1,829 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Austin Public School District (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #267 of 301 in MN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 53 units permitted in Mower County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $190k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.34%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-23,906
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $13,621
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55912
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1921 3rd Ave NE Austin, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1204 1st Ave NE Austin, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 800 8th Ave SE Austin, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,600 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 261-char remark
-
2026-06-05$189,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$349/yr (+$29/mo · 24.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,428
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$3,499
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Austin Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2703450
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,818
- Composite
- 24.75/100
- National rank
- #7604
- State rank
- #267 of 301 in MN
Livability — Austin
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #1829
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Austin, MN
- County
- Mower County · 29,632 people
- City population
- 29,632
- Metro
- Austin, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,632
- Household income
- $70,177
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 759.0
Population outlook (Mower County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,967 people
- By 2030
- 40,204 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 40,509 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 40,841 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 42,029 · +5.2%
- By 2100
- 42,272 · +5.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mower
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.5) · D 43.9% · R 54.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: -10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+5.8 2016: R+7.8 2012: D+22.7 2008: D+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 271.4199
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.62%
- Metro
- Austin, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+171.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-13 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-19 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-20 Listed $63,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-04-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-06 Listed $95,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-02-07 Listed $71,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-04-30 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,428 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…