111 E Main St · Paterson, NJ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Approximately 1,000 sq ft property currently laid out as a 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home. Opportunity to add an additional bathroom. Property requires a major renovation. Sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing preferred. Buyer responsible for all inspections. No utilities. Direct owner listing. No access will be granted without a confirmed showing. Do not enter the property without permission.
Key facts
- 1,306 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No driveway or on-site parking
- Utilities: Natural gas service available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Fixer-upper style; Approximately 1,000 square feet
- Construction: Year built: approximate
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range/oven
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating system; Natural gas available
- Interior features: Range/Oven (gas); See remarks listed for kitchen details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 3.4% in Paterson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#293 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Paterson Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #458 of 472 in NJ (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 860 units permitted in Passaic County in 2024 (614 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Passaic County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.68%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $555,550
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146 Hamilton Ave Apt 203 | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,195 (+7%) | 9mo | $595,000 | $271 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $71,019
- Equity at exit
- $67,446
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.26×
- Total profit
- $179,087
- Equity at exit
- $103,943
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07522-1824
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$387 /mo · $4,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $829
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $914 | -5% $871 | +0% $829 | +5% $786 | +10% $744 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $622 | -5% $726 | +0% $829 | +5% $932 | +10% $1,035 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $904 | -0.5pp $867 | base $829 | +0.5pp $790 | +1.0pp $750 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Lyon St Unit 2 Paterson, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,060 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 65 Main St Unit 3 FL Paterson, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2 John St Haledon, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,950 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 265 Fairview Ave Prospect Park, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 200 Godwin Ave Paterson, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 372 Main St Unit 2nd Paterson, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,450 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$150,000 Active
-
2006-12-14soldstatus $270,000
-
2004-08-02soldstatus $188,000
-
2004-07-19soldstatus $188,000
-
2002-01-02soldstatus $140,000
-
2000-03-02soldstatus $106,000
-
1993-04-30soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,641 · $387/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,641 · $387/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,363
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,641
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,509
- − Management
- −$2,509
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $8,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,965
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paterson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3412690
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,365
- Composite
- 13.02/100
- National rank
- #9568
- State rank
- #458 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Paterson
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #8763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paterson, NJ
Population outlook (Passaic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 525,915 people
- By 2030
- 532,160 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 543,670 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 554,326 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 584,728 · +11.2%
- By 2100
- 598,978 · +13.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+114.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $150,000 GSMLS
- 2006-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2000-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
- 1993-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,641 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…